Soil temperature in Moncton, New Brunswick

Soil temperature

17.4°C63°F

at 6cm — germination depth

Cooling over the next 11 days.

Seeding conditions are open — soil is 17.4°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.

Most cool-season lawns in the northern US and Canada are bluegrass, tall fescue, or a mix of the two. We assume that, and use12.5°C as the seeding threshold.

I know what grass I have

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil tempDays
Perennial ryegrass8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescue8–10°C10–14
Tall fescuelikely yours10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrasslikely yours12–13°C14–28

Soil temperature at 6cm in Moncton, New Brunswick is currently 17.4°C, and falling about 16.7°C over the next 11 days. That depth matters because it is where grass seed sits and where roots start working, and it lags air temperature by days — which is why a warm afternoon here tells you very little on its own.

Lawns in this area are typically Kentucky bluegrass with tall fescue, the usual mix for cool-season lawns at this latitude. That blend needs the soil to hold above 12.5°C before seed germinates reliably. Seeding conditions are open — soil is 17.4°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.

4 of the next 10 days look workable. The other 6 are held back by wet grass or soft ground. As for the weekend: nothing doing. 0.4mm of rain falling. And nothing else in the next 10 days either.

Nothing in the current forecast for Moncton opens a sensible window. The ground reads as saturated after 107mm rain over the last week, and that is usually what decides it at this time of year.

See the full mowing forecast for Moncton

The next 10 days

Column height is how mowable the day is; the lighter band is the best stretch within it. The line is soil temperature at 6cm. It crosses the seeding threshold inside this forecast.

12.5°C — seeding

Soil at 6cm 16.8°C cooling to 0.0°C

Tuesday 1 September: Not worth it. No — ground saturated, 107mm rain over the last week.

Tuesday 1 SeptemberConfident

No — ground saturated, 107mm rain over the last week.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Sunday
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground saturated107mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.79
Good:Temperature
Temperature15°C
Good:Wind
Wind light9 km/h

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Wednesday 2 September: Good. No — ground saturated, 107mm rain over the last week.

Wednesday 2 SeptemberConfident

No — ground saturated, 107mm rain over the last week.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Sunday
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground saturated107mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.67
Good:Temperature
Temperature11°C
Good:Wind
Wind light2 km/h

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Thursday 3 September: Good. No — 0.1mm of rain falling.

Thursday 3 SeptemberConfident

No — 0.1mm of rain falling.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Sunday
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground soft107mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.75
Good:Temperature
Temperature14°C
Good:Wind
Wind light6 km/h

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Friday 4 September: Not worth it. No — 0.1mm of rain falling.

Friday 4 SeptemberConfident

No — 0.1mm of rain falling.

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass wetraining now
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground saturated108mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.84
Good:Temperature
Temperature16°C
Good:Wind
Wind light16 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Saturday 5 September: Not worth it. No — 0.4mm of rain falling.

Saturday 5 SeptemberReasonably confident

No — 0.4mm of rain falling.

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass wetraining now
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground saturated40mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.64
Good:Temperature
Temperature16°C
Good:Wind
Wind light9 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Sunday 6 September: Not worth it. No — 1.5mm of rain falling.

Sunday 6 SeptemberReasonably confident

No — 1.5mm of rain falling.

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass wetraining now
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground saturated15mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.49
Good:Temperature
Temperature13°C
Good:Wind
Wind light22 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Monday 7 September: Good. No — ground waterlogged.

Monday 7 SeptemberReasonably confident

No — ground waterlogged.

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground saturated26mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.64
Good:Temperature
Temperature13°C
Good:Wind
Wind light14 km/h

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Tuesday 8 September: Good. No — 0.5mm of rain falling.

Tuesday 8 SeptemberReasonably confident

No — 0.5mm of rain falling.

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Monday
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground saturated27mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.35
Good:Temperature
Temperature11°C
Good:Wind
Wind light8 km/h

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Wednesday 9 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Wednesday 9 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places29mm rain over the last week
Poor:Growth
Barely growinggrowth potential 0.18
Good:Temperature
Temperature11°C
Good:Wind
Wind light10 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Thursday 10 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Thursday 10 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Tuesday
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft29mm rain over the last week
Poor:Growth
Barely growinggrowth potential 0.14
Good:Temperature
Temperature10°C
Good:Wind
Wind light6 km/h

Limiting factor:growth

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