Soil temperature in Fredericton, New Brunswick

Soil temperature

16.8°C62°F

at 6cm — germination depth

Cooling over the next 11 days.

Seeding conditions are open — soil is 16.8°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.

Most cool-season lawns in the northern US and Canada are bluegrass, tall fescue, or a mix of the two. We assume that, and use12.5°C as the seeding threshold.

I know what grass I have

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil tempDays
Perennial ryegrass8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescue8–10°C10–14
Tall fescuelikely yours10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrasslikely yours12–13°C14–28

Soil temperature at 6cm in Fredericton, New Brunswick is currently 16.8°C, and falling about 15.7°C over the next 11 days. That depth matters because it is where grass seed sits and where roots start working, and it lags air temperature by days — which is why a warm afternoon here tells you very little on its own.

Lawns in this area are typically Kentucky bluegrass with tall fescue, the usual mix for cool-season lawns at this latitude. That blend needs the soil to hold above 12.5°C before seed germinates reliably. Seeding conditions are open — soil is 16.8°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.

7 of the next 10 days are good mowing days. The best weekend slot right now is Sunday 11am–8pm, on the basis that dried off since a shower 1 hour ago, ground firm.

The next recommended window in Fredericton opens at 8am on Wednesday 2 September, because anything earlier is the hour your neighbours will remember. Underfoot, the ground reads as firm after 3mm rain over the last week.

See the full mowing forecast for Fredericton

The next 10 days

Column height is how mowable the day is; the lighter band is the best stretch within it. The line is soil temperature at 6cm. It crosses the seeding threshold inside this forecast.

12.5°C — seeding

Soil at 6cm 16.5°C cooling to 0.0°C

Tuesday 1 September: Not worth it. No — nothing quite good enough today.

Tuesday 1 SeptemberConfident

No — nothing quite good enough today.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Sunday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm3mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.80
Good:Temperature
Temperature16°C
Good:Wind
Wind light4 km/h

Limiting factor:none

Wednesday 2 September: Good. 8am–9pm — no rain since Sunday, ground firm

Wednesday 2 September · 8am–9pmConfident

8am–9pm — no rain since Sunday, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Sunday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm3mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.77
Good:Temperature
Temperature11°C
Good:Wind
Wind light4 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Thursday 3 September: Good. 8am–midday — no rain since Sunday, ground firm

Thursday 3 September · 8am–middayConfident

8am–midday — no rain since Sunday, ground firm

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Sunday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm3mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.63
Good:Temperature
Temperature12°C
Good:Wind
Wind light6 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Friday 4 September: Good. 1pm–8pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Friday 4 September · 1pm–8pmConfident

1pm–8pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm11mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.90
Good:Temperature
Temperature15°C
Good:Wind
Wind light7 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts once the dew has burnt off

Limiting factor:none

Saturday 5 September: Good. 2pm–8pm — dried off since a shower 4 hours ago, ground firm

Saturday 5 September · 2pm–8pmReasonably confident

2pm–8pm — dried off since a shower 4 hours ago, ground firm

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 4 hours ago
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm21mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.53
Good:Temperature
Temperature13°C
Good:Wind
Wind light24 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts once the dew has burnt off

Limiting factor:none

Sunday 6 September: Good. 11am–8pm — dried off since a shower 1 hour ago, ground firm

Sunday 6 September · 11am–8pmReasonably confident

11am–8pm — dried off since a shower 1 hour ago, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm23mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.41
Good:Temperature
Temperature12°C
Good:Wind
Wind light22 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts once the rain has passed

Limiting factor:none

Monday 7 September: Good. 8am–8pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Monday 7 September · 8am–8pmReasonably confident

8am–8pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm21mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.62
Good:Temperature
Temperature11°C
Good:Wind
Wind light12 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Tuesday 8 September: Good. 8am–10am — growing slowly — growth potential 0.29

Tuesday 8 September · 8am–10amReasonably confident

8am–10am — growing slowly — growth potential 0.29

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Sunday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm21mm rain over the last week
Marginal:Growth
Growing slowlygrowth potential 0.29
Good:Temperature
Temperature11°C
Good:Wind
Wind light6 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:growth

Wednesday 9 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Wednesday 9 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm24mm rain over the last week
Poor:Growth
Barely growinggrowth potential 0.13
Good:Temperature
Temperature11°C
Good:Wind
Wind light8 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Thursday 10 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Thursday 10 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass dryraining now
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm24mm rain over the last week
Poor:Growth
Barely growinggrowth potential 0.09
Good:Temperature
Temperature9°C
Good:Wind
Wind light3 km/h

Limiting factor:growth

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