Moncton, New Brunswick

Moncton, New Brunswick46.0945, -64.7965

Mowing

When you can next cut it, and the best slot this weekend.

Best weekend slot

Nothing doing

Verdict: Not worth it

ground waterlogged. And nothing else in the next 10 days either.

Next mow

Not in the next 10 days

Verdict: Not worth it

ground saturated, 107mm rain over the last week.

How you feel about mowing

Sensible middle ground.

Petrol or battery. The baseline.

The next 10 days

Column height is how mowable the day is; the lighter band is the best stretch within it. The line is soil temperature at 6cm. It crosses the seeding threshold inside this forecast.

12.5°C — seeding

Soil at 6cm 15.8°C cooling to 0.0°C

Wednesday 2 September: Not worth it. No — ground saturated, 107mm rain over the last week.

Wednesday 2 SeptemberConfident

No — ground saturated, 107mm rain over the last week.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Sunday
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground saturated107mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.66
Good:Temperature
Temperature13°C
Good:Wind
Wind light5 km/h

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Thursday 3 September: Good. No — ground soft, 107mm rain over the last week.

Thursday 3 SeptemberConfident

No — ground soft, 107mm rain over the last week.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Sunday
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground soft107mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.74
Good:Temperature
Temperature13°C
Good:Wind
Wind light7 km/h

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Friday 4 September: Not worth it. No — 0.7mm of rain falling.

Friday 4 SeptemberConfident

No — 0.7mm of rain falling.

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass wetraining now
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground saturated107mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.83
Good:Temperature
Temperature15°C
Good:Wind
Wind light8 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Saturday 5 September: Not worth it. No — ground waterlogged.

Saturday 5 SeptemberConfident

No — ground waterlogged.

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass wetrain 1 hour ago
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground saturated40mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.65
Good:Temperature
Temperature15°C
Good:Wind
Wind light17 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Sunday 6 September: Not worth it. No — 1.0mm of rain falling.

Sunday 6 SeptemberReasonably confident

No — 1.0mm of rain falling.

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass wetraining now
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground saturated16mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.48
Good:Temperature
Temperature13°C
Good:Wind
Wind light21 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Monday 7 September: Good. No — ground waterlogged.

Monday 7 SeptemberReasonably confident

No — ground waterlogged.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground saturated29mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.69
Good:Temperature
Temperature14°C
Good:Wind
Wind light13 km/h

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Tuesday 8 September: Good. No — 0.2mm of rain falling.

Tuesday 8 SeptemberReasonably confident

No — 0.2mm of rain falling.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Sunday
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground saturated29mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.80
Good:Temperature
Temperature13°C
Good:Wind
Wind light12 km/h

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Wednesday 9 September: Good. No — ground waterlogged.

Wednesday 9 SeptemberReasonably confident

No — ground waterlogged.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground soft29mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.79
Good:Temperature
Temperature13°C
Good:Wind
Wind light4 km/h

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Thursday 10 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Thursday 10 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 0 hours ago
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places29mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.93
Good:Temperature
Temperature18°C
Good:Wind
Wind light22 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Friday 11 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Friday 11 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places32mm rain over the last week
Marginal:Growth
Growing slowlygrowth potential 0.30
Good:Temperature
Temperature11°C
Good:Wind
Wind light11 km/h

Limiting factor:growth

Growth

How fast it is growing, and when it will need cutting again.

0.66Growing strongly

Growth potential, 0 to 1 — the turf-industry measure of how fast grass can grow at today's temperature and day length.

Putting on about 4.0mm a day. A lawn cut today would be ready for another in around 4 days.

Worked out from the PACE Turf growth potential model and day length —how and why.

What this means right now

  • Good: Seeding window open

    Seeding conditions are open — soil is 15.8°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.

  • Worth watching: Ground still soft

    107mm rain over the last week. A mower will mark it, and a ride-on will rut it.

Seeding

Soil temperature at germination depth, and when the window opens.

Soil temperature

15.8°C60°F

at 6cm — germination depth

Cooling over the next 10 days.

Seeding conditions are open — soil is 15.8°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.

Cross-checks against an independent estimate from air temperature (16.5°C), which agrees to within 0.8°C.

Most cool-season lawns in the northern US and Canada are bluegrass, tall fescue, or a mix of the two. We assume that, and use12.5°C as the seeding threshold.

I know what grass I have

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil tempDays
Perennial ryegrass8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescue8–10°C10–14
Tall fescuelikely yours10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrasslikely yours12–13°C14–28

Feeding

Why timing decides whether a feed does anything at all.

Coming in the app

Grass takes up nitrogen when it is growing. Feed a lawn that has stopped and most of it washes past the roots — which is why timing beats product choice.

Right now this lawn is growing well enough to use a feed.

The app will work out the actual feeding windows for your lawn — along with weed control, scarifying and moss treatment — and tell you when they open without you having to check.

Why timing beats product choice

Moncton, New Brunswick in detail

Soil temperature at 6cm in Moncton, New Brunswick is currently 15.8°C, and falling about 15.7°C over the next 10 days. That depth matters because it is where grass seed sits and where roots start working, and it lags air temperature by days — which is why a warm afternoon here tells you very little on its own.

Lawns in this area are typically Kentucky bluegrass with tall fescue, the usual mix for cool-season lawns at this latitude. That blend needs the soil to hold above 12.5°C before seed germinates reliably. Seeding conditions are open — soil is 15.8°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.

4 of the next 10 days look workable. The other 6 are held back by wet grass or soft ground. As for the weekend: nothing doing. ground waterlogged. And nothing else in the next 10 days either.

Nothing in the current forecast for Moncton opens a sensible window. The ground reads as saturated after 107mm rain over the last week, and that is usually what decides it at this time of year.

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Forecast from Open-Meteo, refreshed hourly. Soil temperature is modelled, not measured — how that works and where the thresholds come from.