SO45, New Forest
Mowing
When you can next cut it, and the best slot this weekend.
Best weekend slot
Nothing doing
Verdict: Not worth it
0.3mm of rain falling.
Today afternoon is your first decent window.
Next mow
Today midday–7pm
Verdict: Prime time
rain earlier today, ground firm
- Worth watching: Ground still soft. 46mm rain over the last week, coarse (sandy) soil. A mower will mark it, and a ride-on will rut it. More
The next 10 days
Each row is a day, morning on the left. The more solid a block, the more of the forecast runs agree you can mow. Open a day for the hour-by-hour forecast behind it.
Monday 19 October: 7 hours worth using. midday–7pm — rain earlier today, ground firm
Monday 19 October, hour by hour 5am 6am 7am 8am 9am 10am 11am midday 1pm 2pm 3pm 4pm 5pm 6pm 7pm 8pm Chance — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Verdict Already gone Already gone Already gone Already gone Already gone Already gone Already gone Prime time Prime time Prime time Prime time Prime time Prime time Prime time dark dark Rainchance · · · · · · · — — — — — — — — — Rainmm · · · · · · · — — — — — — — — — Grass · · · · · · · dry dry dry dry dry dry dry dry dry Ground · · · · · · · firm firm firm firm firm firm firm firm firm Temp · · · · · · · 13° 13° 13° 13° 13° 12° 12° 11° 11° Windkm/h · · · · · · · 18 20 18 16 17 15 14 13 13 Daylight · · · · · · · ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ — — Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.16). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.
Monday 19 October · midday–7pmConfident
midday–7pm — rain earlier today, ground firm
Limiting factor:none
Tuesday 20 October: no hours worth using. No — 1.6mm of rain falling.
Tuesday 20 October, hour by hour 5am 6am 7am 8am 9am 10am 11am midday 1pm 2pm 3pm 4pm 5pm 6pm 7pm 8pm Chance — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Verdict dark dark dark 1.6mm of rain falling 1.5mm of rain falling 1.2mm of rain falling 0.1mm of rain falling Forget it Forget it 0.2mm of rain falling Forget it Forget it Forget it Forget it dark dark Rainchance — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Rainmm 1 1.5 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.2 0.1 — — 0.2 — — — — — — Grass soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked Ground firm firm firm soft bog bog soft soft soft soft soft soft soft soft soft soft Temp 11° 11° 12° 12° 11° 12° 12° 13° 12° 12° 11° 11° 11° 10° 8° 8° Windkm/h 10 11 10 9 8 8 7 6 12 14 15 13 11 8 6 8 Daylight — — — ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ — — Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.15). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.
Tuesday 20 OctoberConfident
No — 1.6mm of rain falling.
Limiting factor:grass wetness
Wednesday 21 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.1mm of rain falling.
Wednesday 21 October, hour by hour 5am 6am 7am 8am 9am 10am 11am midday 1pm 2pm 3pm 4pm 5pm 6pm 7pm 8pm Chance — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Verdict dark dark dark 0.1mm of rain falling Forget it Forget it 0.3mm of rain falling 0.6mm of rain falling 0.7mm of rain falling 1.1mm of rain falling 1.1mm of rain falling 1.1mm of rain falling 0.2mm of rain falling 0.2mm of rain falling dark dark Rainchance — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Rainmm 0.6 1.5 1.3 0.1 — — 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 — Grass soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked Ground soft soft soft soft soft soft soft soft soft soft soft soft soft soft soft soft Temp 11° 11° 12° 12° 10° 9° 10° 11° 12° 12° 10° 8° 8° 9° 10° 9° Windkm/h 18 22 17 14 24 28 31 29 30 33 35 36 34 30 25 20 Daylight — — — ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ — — Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.12). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.
Wednesday 21 OctoberConfident
No — 0.1mm of rain falling.
Limiting factor:grass wetness
Thursday 22 October: 3 hours worth using. 3pm–6pm — grass slightly damp — rain earlier that day
Thursday 22 October, hour by hour 5am 6am 7am 8am 9am 10am 11am midday 1pm 2pm 3pm 4pm 5pm 6pm 7pm 8pm Chance — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Verdict dark dark dark Forget it Forget it Forget it Forget it Forget it Forget it Forget it Good to go Good to go Good to go dark dark dark Rainchance — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Rainmm 0.1 0.1 0.1 — — — — — — — — — — — — 2 Grass soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked wet damp damp damp damp dry soaked Ground soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soft soft soft soft soft soft soft soft soft Temp 7° 7° 8° 8° 9° 9° 10° 12° 13° 13° 14° 14° 14° 13° 13° 13° Windkm/h 6 9 10 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 12 13 17 Daylight — — — ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ — — — Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.15). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.
Thursday 22 October · 3pm–6pmConfident
3pm–6pm — grass slightly damp — rain earlier that day
Limiting factor:grass wetness
Friday 23 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.7mm of rain falling.
Friday 23 October, hour by hour 5am 6am 7am 8am 9am 10am 11am midday 1pm 2pm 3pm 4pm 5pm 6pm 7pm 8pm Chance — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Verdict dark dark dark 0.7mm of rain falling 0.7mm of rain falling 0.7mm of rain falling Forget it Forget it Forget it 0.2mm of rain falling 0.2mm of rain falling 0.2mm of rain falling Forget it dark dark dark Rainchance — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Rainmm 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.7 — — — 0.2 0.2 0.2 — — — — Grass soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked wet wet wet Ground sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden Temp 12° 11° 11° 10° 9° 9° 9° 10° 10° 11° 11° 11° 10° 10° 9° 9° Windkm/h 34 37 40 44 47 48 45 41 37 34 31 29 27 26 24 23 Daylight — — — ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ — — — Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.14). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.
Friday 23 OctoberReasonably confident
No — 0.7mm of rain falling.
Limiting factor:grass wetness
Saturday 24 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.2mm of rain falling.
Saturday 24 October, hour by hour 5am 6am 7am 8am 9am 10am 11am midday 1pm 2pm 3pm 4pm 5pm 6pm 7pm 8pm Chance — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Verdict dark dark dark Forget it Forget it Forget it Forget it Forget it Forget it 0.2mm of rain falling 0.2mm of rain falling 0.2mm of rain falling 1.7mm of rain falling dark dark dark Rainchance — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Rainmm — — — — — — — — — 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.7 1.7 1.7 2.5 Grass dry dry dry dry dry dry dry dry dry dry damp soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked Ground sodden sodden sodden sodden soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy sodden Temp 7° 7° 7° 7° 8° 8° 10° 11° 12° 12° 11° 10° 10° 11° 11° 12° Windkm/h 13 13 12 12 12 12 13 14 15 14 13 13 15 18 19 20 Daylight — — — ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ — — — Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.12). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.
Saturday 24 OctoberReasonably confident
No — 0.2mm of rain falling.
Limiting factor:ground firmness
Sunday 25 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.3mm of rain falling.
Sunday 25 October, hour by hour 5am 6am 7am 8am 9am 10am 11am midday 1pm 2pm 3pm 4pm 5pm 6pm 7pm 8pm Chance — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Verdict dark dark 0.3mm of rain falling 0.3mm of rain falling 0.3mm of rain falling 0.3mm of rain falling 0.3mm of rain falling 0.3mm of rain falling Forget it Forget it Forget it Forget it dark dark dark dark Rainchance — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Rainmm 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 — — — — — — — — Grass soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked wet damp damp damp Ground sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden Temp 16° 16° 16° 16° 17° 17° 17° 17° 17° 16° 15° 15° 14° 13° 13° 12° Windkm/h 20 21 23 27 30 33 35 37 37 36 35 33 31 30 28 27 Daylight — — ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ — — — — Growth: growing steadily (growth potential 0.40). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.
Sunday 25 OctoberReasonably confident
No — 0.3mm of rain falling.
Limiting factor:grass wetness
Monday 26 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.2mm of rain falling.
Monday 26 October, hour by hour 5am 6am 7am 8am 9am 10am 11am midday 1pm 2pm 3pm 4pm 5pm 6pm 7pm 8pm Chance — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Verdict dark dark 0.2mm of rain falling 0.2mm of rain falling 0.2mm of rain falling 0.2mm of rain falling 0.2mm of rain falling 0.2mm of rain falling 0.1mm of rain falling 0.1mm of rain falling 0.1mm of rain falling 0.1mm of rain falling dark dark dark dark Rainchance — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Rainmm 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 Grass soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked Ground sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden sodden soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy Temp 9° 10° 10° 11° 12° 13° 13° 14° 14° 14° 13° 13° 12° 12° 13° 13° Windkm/h 14 15 15 16 16 17 17 16 15 12 10 9 10 11 13 15 Daylight — — ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ — — — — Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.19). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.
Monday 26 OctoberReasonably confident
No — 0.2mm of rain falling.
Limiting factor:grass wetness
Tuesday 27 October: 1 hour worth using. 4pm–5pm — ground soft — 64mm rain over the last week, coarse (sandy) soil
Tuesday 27 October, hour by hour 5am 6am 7am 8am 9am 10am 11am midday 1pm 2pm 3pm 4pm 5pm 6pm 7pm 8pm Chance — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Verdict dark dark 0.4mm of rain falling 0.4mm of rain falling 0.4mm of rain falling 0.4mm of rain falling 0.4mm of rain falling 0.4mm of rain falling Forget it Forget it Forget it Good to go dark dark dark dark Rainchance — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Rainmm 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 — — — — — — — — Grass soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked wet wet damp damp damp damp dry dry Ground soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy Temp 16° 16° 16° 16° 16° 16° 16° 16° 16° 16° 15° 14° 14° 14° 13° 13° Windkm/h 30 30 29 29 29 30 31 31 30 28 26 24 22 20 19 19 Daylight — — ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ — — — — Growth: growing steadily (growth potential 0.42). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.
Tuesday 27 October · 4pm–5pmLow confidence this far out
4pm–5pm — ground soft — 64mm rain over the last week, coarse (sandy) soil
Limiting factor:ground firmness
Wednesday 28 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.5mm of rain falling.
Wednesday 28 October, hour by hour 5am 6am 7am 8am 9am 10am 11am midday 1pm 2pm 3pm 4pm 5pm 6pm 7pm 8pm Chance — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Verdict dark dark 0.5mm of rain falling 0.5mm of rain falling 0.5mm of rain falling 0.5mm of rain falling 0.5mm of rain falling 0.5mm of rain falling 0.1mm of rain falling 0.1mm of rain falling 0.1mm of rain falling 0.1mm of rain falling dark dark dark dark Rainchance — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — Rainmm — — 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 Grass dry dry soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked soaked Ground soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soggy soft soft soft soft soft soft Temp 12° 12° 12° 12° 12° 13° 13° 13° 14° 14° 14° 14° 15° 15° 15° 14° Windkm/h 15 16 17 19 22 25 27 29 29 29 29 29 28 28 27 27 Daylight — — ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ — — — — Growth: growing slowly (growth potential 0.29). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.
Wednesday 28 OctoberLow confidence this far out
No — 0.5mm of rain falling.
Limiting factor:grass wetness
good to go touch and go dark, frost or snow already goneFainter means fewer forecast runs agree.
Growth
How fast it is growing, and when it will need cutting again.
16%Barely growing
Of the fastest this grass could grow. The turf-industry measure, from today's temperature and day length.
The lawn is barely growing, so it does not need cutting. Leave it — taking leaf off a sward that cannot replace it costs more than it gives.
Held back by both temperature and short days — 10.5 hours of daylight at 11°C.
- Over the next 10 days
- about 7mm of leaf
- Next cut due
- not within the next ten days
This only knows temperature and day length. Feeding, watering, shade and cutting height all move it, so treat it as a rough guide.
Worked out from the PACE Turf growth potential model and day length —how and why.
Seeding
Soil temperature at germination depth, and when the window opens.
Soil temperature in SO45, New Forest
11.9°C53°F
at 6cm — germination depth
Seeding conditions are open — soil is 11.9°C at 6cm and holding above 9°C.
Warming over the next 10 days.
Cross-checks against an independent estimate from air temperature (11.1°C), which agrees to within 0.3°C.
Almost every UK and Irish lawn is a ryegrass and fescue mix, whether it was sown or turfed. We assume that, and use 9°C as the seeding threshold.
Thresholds for every species
The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.
| Species | Soil needed | Days to sprout |
|---|---|---|
| Perennial ryegrasslikely yours | 8°C | 5–10 |
| Red / chewings fescuelikely yours | 8–10°C | 10–14 |
| Tall fescue | 10–12°C | 10–14 |
| Browntop bentColonial bentgrass | 10–12°C | 14–21 |
| Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrass | 12–13°C | 14–28 |
Feeding
Why timing decides whether a feed does anything at all.
Coming in the app
Grass takes up nitrogen when it is growing. Feed a lawn that has stopped and most of it washes past the roots — which is why timing beats product choice.
Right now this lawn is not growing fast enough to make much use of a feed.
The app will work out the actual feeding windows for your lawn — along with weed control, scarifying and moss treatment — and tell you when they open without you having to check.
SO45, New Forest in detail
Soil temperature in SO45, New Forest is currently 11.9°C at 6cm, and rising about 2.2°C over the next 10 days. That depth matters because it is where grass seed sits and where roots start working, and it lags air temperature by days — which is why a warm afternoon here tells you very little on its own.
Lawns in this area are typically perennial ryegrass with fescue, which is what most lawns round here are sown with. That blend needs the soil to hold above 9°C before seed germinates reliably. Seeding conditions are open — soil is 11.9°C at 6cm and holding above 9°C.
4 of the next 10 days look workable. The other 6 are held back by wet grass or soft ground. As for the weekend: nothing doing. 0.3mm of rain falling.
The next recommended window in SO45 opens at midday on Monday 19 October, and holds while conditions stay put. Underfoot, the ground reads as firm after 11mm rain over the last week, coarse (sandy) soil.
Save this lawn and we will email you when the windows open.
We already send you the forecast email? Use the same address.
Single-model forecast here — no ensemble covers this location, so there are no odds to show. Forecast from Open-Meteo, refreshed through the day. Soil temperature is modelled, not measured — how that works and where the thresholds come from.