SA70, Pembrokeshire

SA70, Pembrokeshire51.6726, -4.7430from your postcode

Mowing

When you can next cut it, and the best slot this weekend.

Best weekend slot

Nothing doing

Verdict: Not worth it

ground waterlogged.

Today afternoon is your first decent window.

Next mow

Today 4pm–5pm

Verdict: Good to go

grass damp — dry again 5 hours after a shower

  • Worth watching: Ground still soft. 54mm rain over the last week, medium (loam) soil. A mower will mark it, and a ride-on will rut it. More

The next 10 days

Each row is a day, morning on the left. The more solid a block, the more of the forecast runs agree you can mow. Open a day for the hour-by-hour forecast behind it.

  1. Monday 19 October: 1 hour worth using. 4pm–5pm — grass damp — dry again 5 hours after a shower
    Monday 19 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    VerdictAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneForget itForget itGood to go1.1mm of rain fallingForget itdarkdark
    Rainchance·········———————
    Rainmm·········———1.1———
    Grass·········soakedwetwetsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Ground·········firmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirm
    Temp·········13°13°12°12°12°12°12°
    Windkm/h·········26272326232522
    Daylight·········✓✓✓✓✓——

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.12). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Monday 19 October · 4pm–5pmConfident

    4pm–5pm — grass damp — dry again 5 hours after a shower

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

  2. Tuesday 20 October: 11 hours worth using. 8am–7pm — ground firm — 16mm rain over the last week, medium (loam) soil
    Tuesday 20 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    VerdictdarkdarkdarkPrime timePrime timePrime timePrime timePrime timePrime timePrime timePrime timePrime timePrime timePrime timedarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm——————————————0.1—
    Grassdrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydry
    Groundfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirm
    Temp10°10°10°10°10°11°11°11°12°12°13°13°13°12°12°13°
    Windkm/h1111910108109888969915
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓——

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.19). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Tuesday 20 October · 8am–7pmConfident

    8am–7pm — ground firm — 16mm rain over the last week, medium (loam) soil

    Limiting factor:ground firmness

  3. Wednesday 21 October: 1 hour worth using. 6pm–7pm — grass damp — dry again 5 hours after a shower
    Wednesday 21 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictdarkdarkdark1.1mm of rain falling0.5mm of rain falling0.4mm of rain falling0.3mm of rain falling0.4mm of rain falling0.6mm of rain fallingForget itForget itForget itForget itGood to godarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm3.83.71.81.10.50.40.30.40.6——————0.3
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedwetdampdampsoaked
    Groundbogbogbogbogbogsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoft
    Temp9°8°8°8°8°8°9°9°10°10°11°11°11°10°10°10°
    Windkm/h40423935323238393534353330262220
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓——

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.12). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Wednesday 21 October · 6pm–7pmConfident

    6pm–7pm — grass damp — dry again 5 hours after a shower

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

  4. Thursday 22 October: 3 hours worth using. 2pm–5pm — grass slightly damp — rain earlier that day
    Thursday 22 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    VerdictdarkdarkdarkForget itForget itForget itForget itForget itForget itGood to goGood to goGood to go0.9mm of rain falling0.9mm of rain fallingdarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm————————————0.90.90.95.5
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedwetwetdampdampsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftbogbog
    Temp7°8°9°9°10°11°12°13°13°13°13°13°13°12°12°12°
    Windkm/h19222220171413131315182328354145
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓——

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.16). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Thursday 22 October · 2pm–5pmConfident

    2pm–5pm — grass slightly damp — rain earlier that day

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

  5. Friday 23 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.2mm of rain falling.
    Friday 23 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictdarkdarkdark0.2mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain fallingground waterloggedground waterloggedground waterloggedground waterloggedground waterloggeddarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm3.63.63.60.20.20.20.10.10.1———————
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedwetwetdampdampdampdamp
    Groundbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbog
    Temp12°10°8°8°8°8°9°9°10°10°10°10°10°10°10°10°
    Windkm/h54636866615653514946444241414139
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓——

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.12). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Friday 23 OctoberReasonably confident

    No — 0.2mm of rain falling.

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

  6. Saturday 24 October: no hours worth using. No — ground waterlogged.
    Saturday 24 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictdarkdarkdarkground waterloggedground waterloggedground waterlogged0.2mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain falling2.2mm of rain falling2.2mm of rain falling2.2mm of rain falling2.5mm of rain falling2.5mm of rain fallingdarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm——————0.20.20.22.22.22.22.52.52.5—
    Grassdrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrywetsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbog
    Temp9°9°10°10°11°11°11°11°10°11°11°11°13°14°15°15°
    Windkm/h31282625252625242629343840414141
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓——

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.20). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Saturday 24 OctoberReasonably confident

    No — ground waterlogged.

    Limiting factor:ground firmness

  7. Sunday 25 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.5mm of rain falling.
    Sunday 25 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictdarkdarkdark0.5mm of rain falling0.5mm of rain falling0.5mm of rain falling0.5mm of rain falling0.5mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain fallingdarkdarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm0.50.50.50.50.50.50.50.50.10.10.10.10.10.1——
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedwetdampdampdampdampdry
    Groundbogbogbogbogbogbogsoddensoddensoddensoddensoddensoddensoddensoddensoddensodden
    Temp16°16°16°15°15°14°14°14°13°13°13°13°13°13°12°12°
    Windkm/h41444650535759606160595756545352
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓———

    Growth: growing slowly (growth potential 0.33). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Sunday 25 OctoberReasonably confident

    No — 0.5mm of rain falling.

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

  8. Monday 26 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.2mm of rain falling.
    Monday 26 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictdarkdarkdark0.2mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain fallingForget itForget itForget itForget itForget itdarkdarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm0.40.40.20.20.20.20.20.2——————0.20.2
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedwetwetsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundsoddenbogbogbogbogbogbogsoddensoddensoddensoddensoddensoddensoddensoddensodden
    Temp12°12°12°12°13°13°13°13°13°13°13°13°13°13°13°13°
    Windkm/h282824191516212322181387111623
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓———

    Growth: growing slowly (growth potential 0.24). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Monday 26 OctoberReasonably confident

    No — 0.2mm of rain falling.

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

  9. Tuesday 27 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.4mm of rain falling.
    Tuesday 27 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictdarkdarkdark0.4mm of rain falling0.4mm of rain falling0.4mm of rain falling0.4mm of rain falling0.4mm of rain fallingground waterloggedground waterloggedground waterloggedForget itForget itdarkdarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm0.30.30.40.40.40.40.40.4——————0.10.1
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedwetwetdampdampdampdamp
    Groundbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogsoddensoddensoddensoddensodden
    Temp14°14°14°14°14°14°14°14°14°14°14°13°13°13°13°13°
    Windkm/h33313031323537383837353332313028
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓———

    Growth: growing slowly (growth potential 0.31). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Tuesday 27 OctoberLow confidence this far out

    No — 0.4mm of rain falling.

    Limiting factor:ground firmness

  10. Wednesday 28 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.9mm of rain falling.
    Wednesday 28 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictdarkdarkdark0.9mm of rain falling0.9mm of rain falling0.9mm of rain falling0.9mm of rain falling0.9mm of rain falling0.5mm of rain falling0.5mm of rain falling0.5mm of rain falling0.5mm of rain fallingdarkdarkdarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm0.20.20.90.90.90.90.90.90.50.50.50.50.50.50.10.1
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundsoddensoddensoddenbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbog
    Temp11°12°12°12°13°13°14°14°14°14°13°13°13°13°13°13°
    Windkm/h24252627293032323333333333323232
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓————

    Growth: growing slowly (growth potential 0.23). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Wednesday 28 OctoberLow confidence this far out

    No — 0.9mm of rain falling.

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

good to go touch and go dark, frost or snow already goneFainter means fewer forecast runs agree.

How you feel about mowing

Sensible middle ground.

Petrol or battery. The baseline.

Growth

How fast it is growing, and when it will need cutting again.

12%Barely growing

Of the fastest this grass could grow. The turf-industry measure, from today's temperature and day length.

The lawn is barely growing, so it does not need cutting. Leave it — taking leaf off a sward that cannot replace it costs more than it gives.

Held back by both temperature and short days — 10.5 hours of daylight at 10°C.

Over the next 10 days
about 7mm of leaf
Next cut due
not within the next ten days

This only knows temperature and day length. Feeding, watering, shade and cutting height all move it, so treat it as a rough guide.

Worked out from the PACE Turf growth potential model and day length —how and why.

Seeding

Soil temperature at germination depth, and when the window opens.

Soil temperature in SA70, Pembrokeshire

11.9°C53°F

at 6cm — germination depth

Seeding conditions are open — soil is 11.9°C at 6cm and holding above 9°C.

Warming over the next 10 days.

Cross-checks against an independent estimate from air temperature (10.0°C), which agrees to within 0.2°C.

Almost every UK and Irish lawn is a ryegrass and fescue mix, whether it was sown or turfed. We assume that, and use 9°C as the seeding threshold.

Thresholds for every species

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil neededDays to sprout
Perennial ryegrasslikely yours8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescuelikely yours8–10°C10–14
Tall fescue10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrass12–13°C14–28

Feeding

Why timing decides whether a feed does anything at all.

Coming in the app

Grass takes up nitrogen when it is growing. Feed a lawn that has stopped and most of it washes past the roots — which is why timing beats product choice.

Right now this lawn is not growing fast enough to make much use of a feed.

The app will work out the actual feeding windows for your lawn — along with weed control, scarifying and moss treatment — and tell you when they open without you having to check.

Why timing beats product choice

SA70, Pembrokeshire in detail

Soil temperature in SA70, Pembrokeshire is currently 11.9°C at 6cm, and rising about 2.0°C over the next 10 days. That depth matters because it is where grass seed sits and where roots start working, and it lags air temperature by days — which is why a warm afternoon here tells you very little on its own.

Lawns in this area are typically perennial ryegrass with fescue, which is what most lawns round here are sown with. That blend needs the soil to hold above 9°C before seed germinates reliably. Seeding conditions are open — soil is 11.9°C at 6cm and holding above 9°C.

4 of the next 10 days look workable. The other 6 are held back by wet grass or soft ground. As for the weekend: nothing doing. ground waterlogged.

The next recommended window in SA70 opens at 4pm on Monday 19 October, because that is when the dew has burnt off — earlier than that and you are cutting wet grass. Underfoot, the ground reads as firm after 12mm rain over the last week, medium (loam) soil.

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Single-model forecast here — no ensemble covers this location, so there are no odds to show. Forecast from Open-Meteo, refreshed through the day. Soil temperature is modelled, not measured — how that works and where the thresholds come from.