SA67, Carmarthenshire

SA67, Carmarthenshire51.7832, -4.7328from your postcode

Mowing

When you can next cut it, and the best slot this weekend.

Best weekend slot

Nothing doing

Verdict: Not worth it

ground waterlogged.

Tomorrow afternoon is your first decent window.

Next mow

Tomorrow 4pm–7pm

Verdict: Good to go

grass slightly damp — rain earlier that day

  • Warning: Frost about. Thursday 22 October has frosted hours. Stay off it until it lifts — walking on frosted grass bruises it, and mowing it ruptures the leaf. More

The next 10 days

Each row is a day, morning on the left. The more solid a block, the more of the forecast runs agree you can mow. Open a day for the hour-by-hour forecast behind it.

  1. Monday 19 October: nothing to cut. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.06).
    Monday 19 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    VerdictAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneAlready gonenothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growing
    Rainchance········————————
    Rainmm········———0.20.30.6——
    Grass········soakedwetwetsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Ground········firmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirm
    Temp········12°12°12°11°10°10°9°9°
    Windkm/h········20222014911913
    Daylight········✓✓✓✓✓✓——

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.06). Not enough to be worth cutting, which is why no hour is recommended today whatever the weather does.

    Monday 19 OctoberConfident

    Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.06).

    Nothing to cut. The odds below describe the weather only — growth decides whether a cut is wanted, and it is judged separately.

    Limiting factor:growth

  2. Tuesday 20 October: 3 hours worth using. 4pm–7pm — grass slightly damp — rain earlier that day
    Tuesday 20 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    VerdictdarkdarkdarkForget itForget itForget itForget itForget itForget itForget itForget itGood to goPrime timeGood to godarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm————————————————
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedwetdampdampdampdamp
    Groundfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirm
    Temp7°7°7°7°8°9°9°10°11°12°12°12°11°10°10°9°
    Windkm/h87897466369109889
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓——

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.10). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Tuesday 20 October · 4pm–7pmConfident

    4pm–7pm — grass slightly damp — rain earlier that day

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

  3. Wednesday 21 October: nothing to cut. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.06).
    Wednesday 21 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growing
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm4.32.11.61.70.80.50.50.60.9——————0.1
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundbogbogbogbogbogbogbogsoftsoggysoggysoggysoggysoftsoftsoftsoft
    Temp8°8°7°7°7°8°8°8°8°9°10°10°9°8°6°5°
    Windkm/h303228302928313026242525211496
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓——

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.06). Not enough to be worth cutting, which is why no hour is recommended today whatever the weather does.

    Wednesday 21 OctoberConfident

    Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.06).

    Nothing to cut. The odds below describe the weather only — growth decides whether a cut is wanted, and it is judged separately.

    Limiting factor:growth

  4. Thursday 22 October: nothing to cut. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.08).
    Thursday 22 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growing
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm————————————0.80.80.85
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundsoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggy
    Temp3°4°6°6°7°8°10°11°12°12°12°12°11°10°10°10°
    Windkm/h610121086691112131518232733
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓——

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.08). Not enough to be worth cutting, which is why no hour is recommended today whatever the weather does.

    Thursday 22 OctoberConfident

    Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.08).

    Nothing to cut. The odds below describe the weather only — growth decides whether a cut is wanted, and it is judged separately.

    Limiting factor:growth

  5. Friday 23 October: nothing to cut. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.07).
    Friday 23 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growing
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm4.44.44.40.40.40.40.20.20.2———————
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedwetwetdamp
    Groundbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbog
    Temp10°8°7°7°7°7°7°8°8°9°9°9°9°9°8°8°
    Windkm/h30455655504441373533323230292725
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓——

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.07). Not enough to be worth cutting, which is why no hour is recommended today whatever the weather does.

    Friday 23 OctoberReasonably confident

    Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.07).

    Nothing to cut. The odds below describe the weather only — growth decides whether a cut is wanted, and it is judged separately.

    Limiting factor:growth

  6. Saturday 24 October: no hours worth using. No — ground waterlogged.
    Saturday 24 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictdarkdarkdarkground waterloggedground waterloggedground waterlogged0.3mm of rain falling0.3mm of rain falling0.3mm of rain falling2.3mm of rain falling2.3mm of rain falling2.3mm of rain falling2.3mm of rain falling2.3mm of rain fallingdarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm——————0.30.30.32.32.32.32.32.32.30.1
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogsoddenbogbogbogbogbogbogbog
    Temp7°7°7°8°8°9°9°9°9°9°9°10°11°13°14°14°
    Windkm/h181614129810131722273030272626
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓——

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.11). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Saturday 24 OctoberReasonably confident

    No — ground waterlogged.

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

  7. Sunday 25 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.7mm of rain falling.
    Sunday 25 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictdarkdarkdark0.7mm of rain falling0.7mm of rain falling0.7mm of rain falling0.7mm of rain falling0.7mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain fallingdarkdarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm0.80.80.70.70.70.70.70.70.20.20.20.20.20.2——
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedwetdamp
    Groundbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogsoddensoddensoddensoddensoddensoddensodden
    Temp15°15°15°14°14°13°12°12°11°11°11°11°11°11°11°10°
    Windkm/h35373941424445454544444241403937
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓———

    Growth: growing slowly (growth potential 0.24). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Sunday 25 OctoberReasonably confident

    No — 0.7mm of rain falling.

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

  8. Monday 26 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.2mm of rain falling.
    Monday 26 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictdarkdarkdark0.2mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain fallingground waterloggedground waterloggedForget itForget itForget itdarkdarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm0.30.30.20.20.20.20.20.2——————0.30.3
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundsoddenbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogsoddensoddensoddensoddensoddensodden
    Temp11°11°11°12°12°12°13°13°13°12°12°12°11°11°12°12°
    Windkm/h24242116131620232117115481318
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓———

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.19). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Monday 26 OctoberReasonably confident

    No — 0.2mm of rain falling.

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

  9. Tuesday 27 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.7mm of rain falling.
    Tuesday 27 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictdarkdarkdark0.7mm of rain falling0.7mm of rain falling0.7mm of rain falling0.7mm of rain falling0.7mm of rain fallingground waterloggedground waterloggedground waterloggedground waterloggedground waterloggeddarkdarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm0.20.20.70.70.70.70.70.7——————0.10.1
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedwetwetwet
    Groundbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbog
    Temp14°13°13°13°13°13°13°13°13°13°13°13°13°13°12°12°
    Windkm/h29272728293234353534323129282625
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓———

    Growth: growing slowly (growth potential 0.27). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Tuesday 27 OctoberLow confidence this far out

    No — 0.7mm of rain falling.

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

  10. Wednesday 28 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.7mm of rain falling.
    Wednesday 28 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictdarkdarkdark0.7mm of rain falling0.7mm of rain falling0.7mm of rain falling0.7mm of rain falling0.7mm of rain falling0.6mm of rain falling0.6mm of rain falling0.6mm of rain falling0.6mm of rain fallingdarkdarkdarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm0.30.30.70.70.70.70.70.70.60.60.60.60.60.60.10.1
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbog
    Temp10°10°11°11°12°13°13°13°13°13°13°13°12°12°12°12°
    Windkm/h17171921232527282929282827272727
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓————

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.19). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Wednesday 28 OctoberLow confidence this far out

    No — 0.7mm of rain falling.

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

good to go touch and go dark, frost or snow already goneFainter means fewer forecast runs agree.

How you feel about mowing

Sensible middle ground.

Petrol or battery. The baseline.

Growth

How fast it is growing, and when it will need cutting again.

6%Barely growing

Of the fastest this grass could grow. The turf-industry measure, from today's temperature and day length.

The lawn is barely growing, so it does not need cutting. Leave it — taking leaf off a sward that cannot replace it costs more than it gives.

Held back by both temperature and short days — 10.4 hours of daylight at 8°C.

Over the next 10 days
about 5mm of leaf
Next cut due
not within the next ten days

This only knows temperature and day length. Feeding, watering, shade and cutting height all move it, so treat it as a rough guide.

Worked out from the PACE Turf growth potential model and day length —how and why.

Seeding

Soil temperature at germination depth, and when the window opens.

Soil temperature in SA67, Carmarthenshire

11.0°C52°F

at 6cm — germination depth

Soil is warming — it should cross 9°C in about 7 days, though the forecast doesn't run far enough to confirm it holds.

Warming over the next 10 days.

Cross-checks against an independent estimate from air temperature (8.2°C), which agrees to within 1.2°C.

Almost every UK and Irish lawn is a ryegrass and fescue mix, whether it was sown or turfed. We assume that, and use 9°C as the seeding threshold.

Thresholds for every species

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil neededDays to sprout
Perennial ryegrasslikely yours8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescuelikely yours8–10°C10–14
Tall fescue10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrass12–13°C14–28

Feeding

Why timing decides whether a feed does anything at all.

Coming in the app

Grass takes up nitrogen when it is growing. Feed a lawn that has stopped and most of it washes past the roots — which is why timing beats product choice.

Right now this lawn is not growing fast enough to make much use of a feed.

The app will work out the actual feeding windows for your lawn — along with weed control, scarifying and moss treatment — and tell you when they open without you having to check.

Why timing beats product choice

SA67, Carmarthenshire in detail

Soil temperature in SA67, Carmarthenshire is currently 11.0°C at 6cm, and rising about 1.8°C over the next 10 days. That depth matters because it is where grass seed sits and where roots start working, and it lags air temperature by days — which is why a warm afternoon here tells you very little on its own.

Lawns in this area are typically perennial ryegrass with fescue, which is what most lawns round here are sown with. That blend needs the soil to hold above 9°C before seed germinates reliably. Soil is warming — it should cross 9°C in about 7 days, though the forecast doesn't run far enough to confirm it holds.

1 of the next 10 days look workable. The other 9 are held back by wet grass or soft ground. As for the weekend: nothing doing. ground waterlogged.

The next recommended window in SA67 opens at 4pm on Tuesday 20 October, because that is when the dew has burnt off — earlier than that and you are cutting wet grass. Underfoot, the ground reads as firm after 17mm rain over the last week, medium (loam) soil.

There is frost in the forecast for SA67, Carmarthenshire: Thursday 22 October has hours cold enough to freeze the leaf. Stay off the grass until it lifts — mowing frosted turf ruptures the cells and the damage shows for weeks.

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Single-model forecast here — no ensemble covers this location, so there are no odds to show. Forecast from Open-Meteo, refreshed through the day. Soil temperature is modelled, not measured — how that works and where the thresholds come from.