LS2, Leeds

LS2, Leeds53.8026, -1.5457from your postcode

Mowing

When you can next cut it, and the best slot this weekend.

Best weekend slot

Nothing doing

Verdict: Not worth it

Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.08). Conditions themselves are fine. And nothing else in the next 10 days either.

Next mow

Nothing above 65% this week

Verdict: Not worth it

grass wet, rain earlier that day.

Best chance is Sunday at 35%.

The next 10 days

Each row is a day, morning on the left. The more solid a block, the more of the forecast runs agree you can mow. Open a day for the hour-by-hour forecast behind it.

  1. Monday 19 October: no hours worth using. No — grass wet, rain earlier that day.
    Monday 19 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance—————<5%<5%<5%<5%<5%<5%<5%<5%<5%——
    VerdictAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneForget itForget itForget itForget itForget itForget itForget itForget itForget itdarkdark
    Rainchance·····41%15%14%2%5%4%4%14%24%20%15%
    Rainmm·····0.3——————0.1———
    Grass·····soakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Ground·····firmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirm
    Temp·····12°12°13°13°14°14°14°14°13°13°13°
    Windkm/h·····689101210969812
    Daylight·····✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓——

    Growth: growing slowly (growth potential 0.23). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.Chance is the share of 94 forecast runs — the same weather models re-run from slightly different starting conditions — in which you could have mowed that hour. The rows below it are what those runs expect on average, which is why an hour can look reasonable line by line and still fall short: the chance only counts runs where everything came together at once. Hover any cell for what the runs that ruled it out actually hit.

    Monday 19 OctoberConfident

    No — grass wet, rain earlier that day.

    <5% forget it. Almost every run found the grass too wet.

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

  2. Tuesday 20 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.3mm of rain falling.
    Tuesday 20 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance———<5%<5%<5%<5%<5%<5%<5%<5%<5%<5%———
    VerdictdarkdarkdarkForget itForget itForget itForget itForget itForget itForget itForget itForget itForget itdarkdarkdark
    Rainchance55%59%65%62%61%64%62%54%49%57%57%53%60%62%65%61%
    Rainmm0.50.40.40.40.40.50.50.40.40.50.60.50.70.70.80.5
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmsoftsoftsoft
    Temp12°12°12°11°11°11°12°12°13°13°12°11°11°11°11°11°
    Windkm/h12131312121212131517151410864
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓———

    Growth: growing slowly (growth potential 0.21). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.Chance is the share of 94 forecast runs — the same weather models re-run from slightly different starting conditions — in which you could have mowed that hour. The rows below it are what those runs expect on average, which is why an hour can look reasonable line by line and still fall short: the chance only counts runs where everything came together at once. Hover any cell for what the runs that ruled it out actually hit.

    Tuesday 20 OctoberConfident

    No — 0.3mm of rain falling.

    <5% forget it. Almost every run found the grass too wet.

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

  3. Wednesday 21 October: nothing to cut. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.10).
    Wednesday 21 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance———<5%<5%<5%<5%<5%<5%<5%<5%<5%<5%———
    Verdictnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growing
    Rainchance15%16%18%25%27%29%34%42%38%43%39%34%38%28%23%16%
    Rainmm0.20.10.10.20.10.10.40.40.30.40.30.40.20.20.10.1
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoft
    Temp9°8°8°9°9°10°11°12°12°12°11°10°9°9°8°8°
    Windkm/h52457910111317222422181413
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓———

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.10). Not enough to be worth cutting, which is why no hour is recommended today whatever the weather does.Chance is the share of 94 forecast runs — the same weather models re-run from slightly different starting conditions — in which you could have mowed that hour. The rows below it are what those runs expect on average, which is why an hour can look reasonable line by line and still fall short: the chance only counts runs where everything came together at once. Hover any cell for what the runs that ruled it out actually hit.

    Wednesday 21 OctoberConfident

    Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.10).

    <5% nothing to cut. Almost every run found the grass barely growing.

    Nothing to cut. The odds below describe the weather only — growth decides whether a cut is wanted, and it is judged separately.

    Limiting factor:growth

  4. Thursday 22 October: nothing to cut. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.05). Conditions themselves are fine.
    Thursday 22 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance———<5%<5%<5%<5%<5%10%15%30%45%55%———
    Verdictnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growing
    Rainchance10%4%8%0%4%1%1%0%1%7%6%6%14%15%15%37%
    Rainmm——0.1—————————0.10.10.10.4
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedwetwetwetwetwetwet
    Groundsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoft
    Temp5°5°6°6°6°7°8°8°9°10°11°11°10°9°8°8°
    Windkm/h866556781010111110989
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓———

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.05). Not enough to be worth cutting, which is why no hour is recommended today whatever the weather does.Chance is the share of 94 forecast runs — the same weather models re-run from slightly different starting conditions — in which you could have mowed that hour. The rows below it are what those runs expect on average, which is why an hour can look reasonable line by line and still fall short: the chance only counts runs where everything came together at once. Hover any cell for what the runs that ruled it out actually hit.

    Thursday 22 OctoberReasonably confident

    Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.05). Conditions themselves are fine.

    55% nothing to cut. About half the runs found the grass barely growing.

    Nothing to cut. The odds below describe the weather only — growth decides whether a cut is wanted, and it is judged separately.

    Limiting factor:growth

  5. Friday 23 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.4mm of rain falling.
    Friday 23 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance———<5%<5%<5%<5%<5%<5%<5%<5%<5%<5%———
    VerdictdarkdarkdarkForget itForget itForget itground waterloggedground waterloggedground waterloggedground waterloggedground waterloggedground waterloggedForget itdarkdarkdark
    Rainchance51%38%54%41%43%48%56%58%37%37%46%39%21%33%37%23%
    Rainmm0.40.50.70.40.60.30.40.50.30.30.50.50.20.60.40.2
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundsoftsoftsoftsoftsoggysoggybogbogbogbogbogbogsoggysoggysoggysoggy
    Temp11°11°12°12°12°12°12°12°12°12°12°12°11°9°8°8°
    Windkm/h2219161514141210910131621263031
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓———

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.13). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.Chance is the share of 94 forecast runs — the same weather models re-run from slightly different starting conditions — in which you could have mowed that hour. The rows below it are what those runs expect on average, which is why an hour can look reasonable line by line and still fall short: the chance only counts runs where everything came together at once. Hover any cell for what the runs that ruled it out actually hit.

    Friday 23 OctoberReasonably confident

    No — 0.4mm of rain falling.

    <5% forget it. Almost every run found the grass too wet.

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

  6. Saturday 24 October: nothing to cut. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.08). Conditions themselves are fine.
    Saturday 24 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance———25%30%40%40%45%45%45%45%45%40%———
    Verdictnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growing
    Rainchance12%12%11%5%16%9%10%8%10%16%18%25%16%18%16%20%
    Rainmm0.10.10.1—0.10.10.30.30.10.30.10.60.30.40.40.6
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedwetwetdampdampdampdampdampdampdampwetwetsoaked
    Groundsoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggy
    Temp8°8°8°8°9°9°10°11°11°11°10°10°9°9°8°8°
    Windkm/h33333332302827252321201817151413
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓———

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.08). Not enough to be worth cutting, which is why no hour is recommended today whatever the weather does.Chance is the share of 94 forecast runs — the same weather models re-run from slightly different starting conditions — in which you could have mowed that hour. The rows below it are what those runs expect on average, which is why an hour can look reasonable line by line and still fall short: the chance only counts runs where everything came together at once. Hover any cell for what the runs that ruled it out actually hit.

    Saturday 24 OctoberLow confidence this far out

    Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.08). Conditions themselves are fine.

    45% nothing to cut. About half the runs found the grass barely growing.

    Nothing to cut. The odds below describe the weather only — growth decides whether a cut is wanted, and it is judged separately.

    Limiting factor:growth

  7. Sunday 25 October: no hours worth using. No — ground soft in places, 30mm rain over the last week, medium (loam) soil.
    Sunday 25 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance——10%10%15%20%20%25%35%35%25%35%————
    VerdictdarkdarkForget itForget itPushing itPushing itPushing itPushing itPushing itPushing itPushing itPushing itdarkdarkdarkdark
    Rainchance31%20%25%24%20%20%33%16%22%16%31%16%24%29%10%27%
    Rainmm0.60.20.20.30.20.20.30.30.20.10.40.20.30.30.20.3
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedwetwetwetwetwetwetwetwetsoaked
    Groundsoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggy
    Temp15°16°16°17°17°15°13°11°9°9°9°9°9°8°8°8°
    Windkm/h18192122242322202021232425262524
    Daylight——✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓————

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.18). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.Chance is the share of 94 forecast runs — the same weather models re-run from slightly different starting conditions — in which you could have mowed that hour. The rows below it are what those runs expect on average, which is why an hour can look reasonable line by line and still fall short: the chance only counts runs where everything came together at once. Hover any cell for what the runs that ruled it out actually hit.

    Sunday 25 OctoberLow confidence this far out

    No — ground soft in places, 30mm rain over the last week, medium (loam) soil.

    35% pushing it. About 2 runs in 3 found the ground too soft.

    Limiting factor:ground firmness

  8. Monday 26 October: nothing to cut. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.04).
    Monday 26 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance——15%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%————
    Verdictnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growing
    Rainchance18%18%22%14%14%16%22%12%27%10%18%16%29%10%22%22%
    Rainmm0.30.10.20.10.30.20.20.30.40.10.20.30.20.10.30.3
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggy
    Temp7°7°7°7°7°7°7°7°8°8°8°8°9°9°9°9°
    Windkm/h987791112131210881011119
    Daylight——✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓————

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.04). Not enough to be worth cutting, which is why no hour is recommended today whatever the weather does.Chance is the share of 94 forecast runs — the same weather models re-run from slightly different starting conditions — in which you could have mowed that hour. The rows below it are what those runs expect on average, which is why an hour can look reasonable line by line and still fall short: the chance only counts runs where everything came together at once. Hover any cell for what the runs that ruled it out actually hit.

    Monday 26 OctoberReasonably confident

    Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.04).

    15% nothing to cut. Almost every run found the grass barely growing.

    Nothing to cut. The odds below describe the weather only — growth decides whether a cut is wanted, and it is judged separately.

    Limiting factor:growth

  9. Tuesday 27 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.5mm of rain falling.
    Tuesday 27 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance——5%5%10%10%5%10%10%10%20%20%————
    VerdictdarkdarkForget itForget itForget itForget itForget itForget itForget itForget itPushing itPushing itdarkdarkdarkdark
    Rainchance20%20%18%20%24%16%22%24%16%22%24%29%18%14%14%18%
    Rainmm0.20.20.20.20.20.10.20.20.10.20.30.40.20.10.10.1
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundsoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggy
    Temp14°14°14°14°14°13°13°12°12°12°12°11°11°11°11°10°
    Windkm/h23252627272727272726252322212019
    Daylight——✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓————

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.18). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.Chance is the share of 94 forecast runs — the same weather models re-run from slightly different starting conditions — in which you could have mowed that hour. The rows below it are what those runs expect on average, which is why an hour can look reasonable line by line and still fall short: the chance only counts runs where everything came together at once. Hover any cell for what the runs that ruled it out actually hit.

    Tuesday 27 OctoberLow confidence this far out

    No — 0.5mm of rain falling.

    20% pushing it. About 2 runs in 3 found the grass too wet.

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

  10. Wednesday 28 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.1mm of rain falling.
    Wednesday 28 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance——20%20%20%20%25%25%30%40%35%35%————
    VerdictdarkdarkPushing itPushing itPushing itPushing itPushing itPushing itPushing itPushing itPushing itPushing itdarkdarkdarkdark
    Rainchance33%6%12%10%12%8%16%10%12%14%18%10%12%22%8%4%
    Rainmm0.3—0.1——0.10.1—0.10.10.10.1—0.10.1—
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedwetwetwetwetwetwetwetwetwet
    Groundsoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggy
    Temp8°8°9°9°10°11°12°12°12°12°12°11°11°11°11°11°
    Windkm/h14131415161717181818181818181817
    Daylight——✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓————

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.11). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.Chance is the share of 94 forecast runs — the same weather models re-run from slightly different starting conditions — in which you could have mowed that hour. The rows below it are what those runs expect on average, which is why an hour can look reasonable line by line and still fall short: the chance only counts runs where everything came together at once. Hover any cell for what the runs that ruled it out actually hit.

    Wednesday 28 OctoberLow confidence this far out

    No — 0.1mm of rain falling.

    40% pushing it. About 2 runs in 3 found the grass too wet.

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

good to go touch and go dark, frost or snow already goneFainter means fewer forecast runs agree.

How you feel about mowing

Sensible middle ground.

Petrol or battery. The baseline.

Growth

How fast it is growing, and when it will need cutting again.

23%Growing slowly

Of the fastest this grass could grow. The turf-industry measure, from today's temperature and day length.

Growing slowly — roughly 0.8mm a day. It will not put on enough to need cutting within the next 10 days.

Held back by both temperature and short days — 10.3 hours of daylight at 12°C.

Over the next 10 days
about 5mm of leaf
Next cut due
not within the next ten days

This only knows temperature and day length. Feeding, watering, shade and cutting height all move it, so treat it as a rough guide.

Worked out from the PACE Turf growth potential model and day length —how and why.

Seeding

Soil temperature at germination depth, and when the window opens.

Soil temperature in LS2, Leeds

10.6°C51°F

at 6cm — germination depth

Soil is warming — it should cross 9°C in about 8 days, though the forecast doesn't run far enough to confirm it holds.

Cooling over the next 10 days.

Cross-checks against an independent estimate from air temperature (11.1°C), which agrees to within 0.5°C.

Almost every UK and Irish lawn is a ryegrass and fescue mix, whether it was sown or turfed. We assume that, and use 9°C as the seeding threshold.

Thresholds for every species

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil neededDays to sprout
Perennial ryegrasslikely yours8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescuelikely yours8–10°C10–14
Tall fescue10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrass12–13°C14–28

Feeding

Why timing decides whether a feed does anything at all.

Coming in the app

Grass takes up nitrogen when it is growing. Feed a lawn that has stopped and most of it washes past the roots — which is why timing beats product choice.

Right now this lawn is not growing fast enough to make much use of a feed.

The app will work out the actual feeding windows for your lawn — along with weed control, scarifying and moss treatment — and tell you when they open without you having to check.

Why timing beats product choice

LS2, Leeds in detail

Soil temperature in LS2, Leeds is currently 10.6°C at 6cm, and falling about 1.1°C over the next 10 days. That depth matters because it is where grass seed sits and where roots start working, and it lags air temperature by days — which is why a warm afternoon here tells you very little on its own.

Lawns in this area are typically perennial ryegrass with fescue, which is what most lawns round here are sown with. That blend needs the soil to hold above 9°C before seed germinates reliably. Soil is warming — it should cross 9°C in about 8 days, though the forecast doesn't run far enough to confirm it holds.

1 of the next 10 days look workable. The other 9 are held back by wet grass or soft ground. As for the weekend: nothing doing. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.08). Conditions themselves are fine. And nothing else in the next 10 days either.

Nothing in the current forecast for LS2 opens a sensible window. The ground reads as firm after 3mm rain over the last week, medium (loam) soil, and that is usually what decides it at this time of year.

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Chances counted across 94 forecast runs from MOGREPS-UK, 2km and ICON-EU-EPS, 7km and ECMWF IFS ensemble, 25km. Forecast from Open-Meteo, refreshed through the day. Soil temperature is modelled, not measured — how that works and where the thresholds come from.