CM17, Epping Forest

CM17, Epping Forest51.7735, 0.1462from your postcode

Mowing

When you can next cut it, and the best slot this weekend.

Best weekend slot

Nothing doing

Verdict: Not worth it

Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.06). Conditions themselves are fine.

Tuesday afternoon is your first decent window.

Next mow

Tuesday 1pm–5pm

Verdict: Prime time

ground soft in places — 39mm rain over the last week, fine (clay) soil

The next 10 days

Each row is a day, morning on the left. The more solid a block, the more of the forecast runs agree you can mow. Open a day for the hour-by-hour forecast behind it.

  1. Monday 19 October: no hours worth using. No — grass wet, rain earlier today.
    Monday 19 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    VerdictAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneForget itForget itForget itForget itForget itdarkdarkdark
    Rainchance········————————
    Rainmm········————————
    Grass········soakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Ground········firmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirm
    Temp········12°12°12°12°12°12°11°11°
    Windkm/h········811101212864
    Daylight········✓✓✓✓✓———

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.16). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Monday 19 OctoberConfident

    No — grass wet, rain earlier today.

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

  2. Tuesday 20 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.1mm of rain falling.
    Tuesday 20 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    VerdictdarkdarkdarkForget it0.1mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain falling0.3mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain falling1.0mm of rain falling0.5mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain falling0.8mm of rain fallingdarkdarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm0.1———0.10.20.30.110.50.10.10.8———
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirm
    Temp12°12°12°12°12°12°12°12°12°13°13°13°13°12°12°12°
    Windkm/h14141515151519151413981210915
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓———

    Growth: growing slowly (growth potential 0.22). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Tuesday 20 OctoberConfident

    No — 0.1mm of rain falling.

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

  3. Wednesday 21 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.5mm of rain falling.
    Wednesday 21 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictdarkdarkdark0.5mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain falling0.7mm of rain falling0.5mm of rain fallingForget itForget it0.2mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain falling0.6mm of rain fallingdarkdarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm———0.50.20.70.50.10.10.20.20.20.60.60.60.3
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirm
    Temp8°9°10°9°10°10°11°12°12°13°12°12°11°9°8°8°
    Windkm/h11131416172018242217111018303837
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓———

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.10). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Wednesday 21 OctoberConfident

    No — 0.5mm of rain falling.

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

  4. Thursday 22 October: nothing to cut. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.06). Conditions themselves are fine.
    Thursday 22 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growing
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm0.50.50.5————————————0.1
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakeddampdampdampdampdampwet
    Groundfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirm
    Temp5°6°6°7°7°8°9°10°11°11°11°11°10°9°8°8°
    Windkm/h7667891113141414141210911
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓———

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.06). Not enough to be worth cutting, which is why no hour is recommended today whatever the weather does.

    Thursday 22 OctoberConfident

    Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.06). Conditions themselves are fine.

    Nothing to cut. The odds below describe the weather only — growth decides whether a cut is wanted, and it is judged separately.

    Limiting factor:growth

  5. Friday 23 October: nothing to cut. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.09).
    Friday 23 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growing
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm0.20.20.20.20.20.21.11.11.1———0.10.10.11.6
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoft
    Temp12°11°11°10°10°9°9°9°9°9°9°9°8°8°7°7°
    Windkm/h25262520121019334446454444444240
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓———

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.09). Not enough to be worth cutting, which is why no hour is recommended today whatever the weather does.

    Friday 23 OctoberReasonably confident

    Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.09).

    Nothing to cut. The odds below describe the weather only — growth decides whether a cut is wanted, and it is judged separately.

    Limiting factor:growth

  6. Saturday 24 October: nothing to cut. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.06). Conditions themselves are fine.
    Saturday 24 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growing
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm————————————0.20.20.21.5
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakeddampdampdrydrydrydampsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoft
    Temp6°6°5°6°6°7°8°10°10°11°11°11°10°9°8°8°
    Windkm/h27232121222222222220181615141517
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓———

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.06). Not enough to be worth cutting, which is why no hour is recommended today whatever the weather does.

    Saturday 24 OctoberReasonably confident

    Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.06). Conditions themselves are fine.

    Nothing to cut. The odds below describe the weather only — growth decides whether a cut is wanted, and it is judged separately.

    Limiting factor:growth

  7. Sunday 25 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.1mm of rain falling.
    Sunday 25 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictdarkdark0.1mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain fallingdarkdarkdarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm0.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.1——
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedwetwetdampdampdampdampdry
    Groundsoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoggysoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoft
    Temp13°14°15°16°17°17°18°18°17°16°15°14°13°12°11°11°
    Windkm/h20222326283132343535353434333333
    Daylight——✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓————

    Growth: growing slowly (growth potential 0.30). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Sunday 25 OctoberReasonably confident

    No — 0.1mm of rain falling.

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

  8. Monday 26 October: nothing to cut. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.07). Conditions themselves are fine.
    Monday 26 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growing
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm————————0.10.10.10.10.10.1——
    Grassdrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydampwetsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoft
    Temp5°6°6°7°8°9°10°10°11°11°11°11°12°12°12°11°
    Windkm/h11111112141516171614121212121211
    Daylight——✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓————

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.07). Not enough to be worth cutting, which is why no hour is recommended today whatever the weather does.

    Monday 26 OctoberReasonably confident

    Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.07). Conditions themselves are fine.

    Nothing to cut. The odds below describe the weather only — growth decides whether a cut is wanted, and it is judged separately.

    Limiting factor:growth

  9. Tuesday 27 October: 4 hours worth using. 1pm–5pm — ground soft in places — 39mm rain over the last week, fine (clay) soil
    Tuesday 27 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictdarkdark0.3mm of rain falling0.3mm of rain falling0.3mm of rain falling0.3mm of rain falling0.3mm of rain falling0.3mm of rain fallingPrime timePrime timePrime timePrime timedarkdarkdarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm——0.30.30.30.30.30.3————————
    Grassdrydrywetsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakeddrydrydrydrydrydrydrydry
    Groundsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoft
    Temp14°14°15°15°16°16°16°16°16°15°14°14°13°12°12°11°
    Windkm/h24262728292929292827252321191817
    Daylight——✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓————

    Growth: growing slowly (growth potential 0.29). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Tuesday 27 October · 1pm–5pmLow confidence this far out

    1pm–5pm — ground soft in places — 39mm rain over the last week, fine (clay) soil

    Limiting factor:ground firmness

  10. Wednesday 28 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.1mm of rain falling.
    Wednesday 28 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictdarkdark0.1mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain falling0.3mm of rain falling0.3mm of rain falling0.3mm of rain falling0.3mm of rain fallingdarkdarkdarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm——0.10.10.10.10.10.10.30.30.30.30.30.30.40.4
    Grassdrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrywetsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmsoftsoft
    Temp10°10°10°11°12°12°13°13°14°14°13°13°13°13°13°13°
    Windkm/h13141517192224252525242322212122
    Daylight——✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓————

    Growth: growing slowly (growth potential 0.20). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Wednesday 28 OctoberLow confidence this far out

    No — 0.1mm of rain falling.

    Limiting factor:ground firmness

good to go touch and go dark, frost or snow already goneFainter means fewer forecast runs agree.

How you feel about mowing

Sensible middle ground.

Petrol or battery. The baseline.

Growth

How fast it is growing, and when it will need cutting again.

16%Barely growing

Of the fastest this grass could grow. The turf-industry measure, from today's temperature and day length.

The lawn is barely growing, so it does not need cutting. Leave it — taking leaf off a sward that cannot replace it costs more than it gives.

Held back by both temperature and short days — 10.4 hours of daylight at 11°C.

Over the next 10 days
about 5mm of leaf
Next cut due
not within the next ten days

This only knows temperature and day length. Feeding, watering, shade and cutting height all move it, so treat it as a rough guide.

Worked out from the PACE Turf growth potential model and day length —how and why.

Seeding

Soil temperature at germination depth, and when the window opens.

Soil temperature in CM17, Epping Forest

12.6°C55°F

at 6cm — germination depth

Seeding conditions are open — soil is 12.6°C at 6cm and holding above 9°C.

Warming over the next 10 days.

Cross-checks against an independent estimate from air temperature (10.9°C), which agrees to within 0.2°C.

Almost every UK and Irish lawn is a ryegrass and fescue mix, whether it was sown or turfed. We assume that, and use 9°C as the seeding threshold.

Thresholds for every species

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil neededDays to sprout
Perennial ryegrasslikely yours8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescuelikely yours8–10°C10–14
Tall fescue10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrass12–13°C14–28

Feeding

Why timing decides whether a feed does anything at all.

Coming in the app

Grass takes up nitrogen when it is growing. Feed a lawn that has stopped and most of it washes past the roots — which is why timing beats product choice.

Right now this lawn is not growing fast enough to make much use of a feed.

The app will work out the actual feeding windows for your lawn — along with weed control, scarifying and moss treatment — and tell you when they open without you having to check.

Why timing beats product choice

CM17, Epping Forest in detail

Soil temperature in CM17, Epping Forest is currently 12.6°C at 6cm, and barely moving. That depth matters because it is where grass seed sits and where roots start working, and it lags air temperature by days — which is why a warm afternoon here tells you very little on its own.

Lawns in this area are typically perennial ryegrass with fescue, which is what most lawns round here are sown with. That blend needs the soil to hold above 9°C before seed germinates reliably. Seeding conditions are open — soil is 12.6°C at 6cm and holding above 9°C.

1 of the next 10 days look workable. The other 9 are held back by wet grass or soft ground. As for the weekend: nothing doing. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.06). Conditions themselves are fine.

The next recommended window in CM17 opens at 1pm on Tuesday 27 October, because the rain clears by then. Underfoot, the ground reads as firm after 4mm rain over the last week, fine (clay) soil.

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Single-model forecast here — no ensemble covers this location, so there are no odds to show. Forecast from Open-Meteo, refreshed through the day. Soil temperature is modelled, not measured — how that works and where the thresholds come from.