Carmarthen, Wales

Carmarthen, Wales51.8555, -4.3053

Mowing

When you can next cut it, and the best slot this weekend.

Best weekend slot

Sunday 2pm–5pm

Verdict: Good

ground soft in places — 26mm rain over the last week

Next mow

Today 1pm–9pm

Verdict: Good

grass dry — rain earlier today

How you feel about mowing

Sensible middle ground.

Petrol or battery. The baseline.

The next 10 days

Column height is how mowable the day is; the lighter band is the best stretch within it. The line is soil temperature at 6cm.

9°C — seeding

Soil at 6cm 18.3°C cooling to 15.0°C

Thursday 3 September: Good. 1pm–9pm — grass dry — rain earlier today

Thursday 3 September · 1pm–9pmConfident

1pm–9pm — grass dry — rain earlier today

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground soft70mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.96
Good:Temperature
Temperature17°C
Good:Wind
Wind light13 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts once the dew has burnt off

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Friday 4 September: Good. midday–8pm — ground soft — 39mm rain over the last week

Friday 4 September · midday–8pmConfident

midday–8pm — ground soft — 39mm rain over the last week

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 5 hours ago
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground soft39mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.84
Good:Temperature
Temperature16°C
Good:Wind
Wind light10 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts once the dew has burnt off

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Saturday 5 September: Good. 8am–8pm — ground soft in places — 42mm rain over the last week

Saturday 5 September · 8am–8pmConfident

8am–8pm — ground soft in places — 42mm rain over the last week

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places42mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.67
Good:Temperature
Temperature13°C
Good:Wind
Wind light8 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Sunday 6 September: Good. 2pm–5pm — ground soft in places — 26mm rain over the last week

Sunday 6 September · 2pm–5pmConfident

2pm–5pm — ground soft in places — 26mm rain over the last week

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Friday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places26mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.91
Good:Temperature
Temperature16°C
Good:Wind
Wind light14 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts once the rain has passed

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Monday 7 September: Good. midday–2pm — grass dry — rain earlier today

Monday 7 September · midday–2pmReasonably confident

midday–2pm — grass dry — rain earlier today

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places16mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.68
Good:Temperature
Temperature14°C
Good:Wind
Wind light12 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts once the dew has burnt off

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Tuesday 8 September: Not worth it. No — 0.3mm of rain falling.

Tuesday 8 SeptemberReasonably confident

No — 0.3mm of rain falling.

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 0 hours ago
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places21mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.37
Good:Temperature
Temperature11°C
Good:Wind
Wind light1 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Wednesday 9 September: Good. 1pm–8pm — grass dry — dried off since a shower 2 hours ago

Wednesday 9 September · 1pm–8pmReasonably confident

1pm–8pm — grass dry — dried off since a shower 2 hours ago

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 2 hours ago
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places23mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.38
Good:Temperature
Temperature10°C
Good:Wind
Wind light15 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts once the rain has passed

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Thursday 10 September: Not worth it. No — 1.3mm of rain falling.

Thursday 10 SeptemberReasonably confident

No — 1.3mm of rain falling.

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass slightly dampraining now
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground soft22mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.62
Good:Temperature
Temperature12°C
Good:Wind
Wind light17 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Friday 11 September: Good. 8am–2pm — ground soft — 34mm rain over the last week

Friday 11 September · 8am–2pmLow confidence this far out

8am–2pm — ground soft — 34mm rain over the last week

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground soft34mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.51
Good:Temperature
Temperature12°C
Good:Wind
Wind light17 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Saturday 12 September: Good. 9am–8pm — grass dry — rain earlier today

Saturday 12 September · 9am–8pmLow confidence this far out

9am–8pm — grass dry — rain earlier today

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places34mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.45
Good:Temperature
Temperature12°C
Good:Wind
Wind light14 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts once the dew has burnt off

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Growth

How fast it is growing, and when it will need cutting again.

0.96Growing strongly

Growth potential, 0 to 1 — the turf-industry measure of how fast grass can grow at today's temperature and day length.

Putting on about 5.8mm a day. A lawn cut today would be ready for another in around 4 days.

Worked out from the PACE Turf growth potential model and day length —how and why.

What this means right now

  • Good: Seeding window open

    Seeding conditions are open — soil is 16.9°C at 6cm and holding above 9°C.

  • Worth watching: Ground still soft

    39mm rain over the last week. A mower will mark it, and a ride-on will rut it.

Seeding

Soil temperature at germination depth, and when the window opens.

Soil temperature

16.9°C62°F

at 6cm — germination depth

Cooling over the next 10 days.

Seeding conditions are open — soil is 16.9°C at 6cm and holding above 9°C.

Cross-checks against an independent estimate from air temperature (17.0°C), which agrees to within 0.7°C.

Almost every UK and Irish lawn is a ryegrass and fescue mix, whether it was sown or turfed. We assume that, and use9°C as the seeding threshold.

I know what grass I have

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil tempDays
Perennial ryegrasslikely yours8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescuelikely yours8–10°C10–14
Tall fescue10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrass12–13°C14–28

Feeding

Why timing decides whether a feed does anything at all.

Coming in the app

Grass takes up nitrogen when it is growing. Feed a lawn that has stopped and most of it washes past the roots — which is why timing beats product choice.

Right now this lawn is growing well enough to use a feed.

The app will work out the actual feeding windows for your lawn — along with weed control, scarifying and moss treatment — and tell you when they open without you having to check.

Why timing beats product choice

Carmarthen, Wales in detail

Soil temperature at 6cm in Carmarthen, Wales is currently 16.9°C, and falling about 3.9°C over the next 10 days. That depth matters because it is where grass seed sits and where roots start working, and it lags air temperature by days — which is why a warm afternoon here tells you very little on its own.

Lawns in this area are typically perennial ryegrass with fescue, which is what most lawns round here are sown with. That blend needs the soil to hold above 9°C before seed germinates reliably. Seeding conditions are open — soil is 16.9°C at 6cm and holding above 9°C.

8 of the next 10 days are good mowing days. The other 2 are held back by wet grass or soft ground. The best weekend slot right now is Sunday 2pm–5pm, on the basis that ground soft in places — 26mm rain over the last week.

The next recommended window in Carmarthen opens at 1pm on Thursday 3 September, because that is when the dew has burnt off — earlier than that and you are cutting wet grass. Underfoot, the ground reads as soft after 70mm rain over the last week.

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Forecast from Open-Meteo, refreshed hourly. Soil temperature is modelled, not measured — how that works and where the thresholds come from.