CA28, Cumberland

CA28, Cumberland54.5433, -3.5785from your postcode

Mowing

When you can next cut it, and the best slot this weekend.

Best weekend slot

Nothing doing

Verdict: Not worth it

Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.05).

Today morning is your first decent window.

Next mow

Today 10am–7pm

Verdict: Prime time

ground firm — 23mm rain over the last week, medium (loam) soil

  • Warning: Frost about. Thursday 22 October has frosted hours. Stay off it until it lifts — walking on frosted grass bruises it, and mowing it ruptures the leaf. More

The next 10 days

Each row is a day, morning on the left. The more solid a block, the more of the forecast runs agree you can mow. Open a day for the hour-by-hour forecast behind it.

  1. Monday 19 October: 9 hours worth using. 10am–7pm — ground firm — 23mm rain over the last week, medium (loam) soil
    Monday 19 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    VerdictAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneAlready gonePrime timePrime timePrime timePrime timePrime timePrime timePrime timePrime timePrime timedarkdark
    Rainchance·····———————————
    Rainmm·····———————————
    Grass·····drydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydry
    Ground·····firmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirm
    Temp·····8°10°11°13°13°14°14°12°11°11°10°
    Windkm/h·····1413118971012643
    Daylight·····✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓——

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.10). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Monday 19 October · 10am–7pmConfident

    10am–7pm — ground firm — 23mm rain over the last week, medium (loam) soil

    Limiting factor:ground firmness

  2. Tuesday 20 October: 1 hour worth using. 8am–9am — ground firm — 22mm rain over the last week, medium (loam) soil
    Tuesday 20 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    VerdictdarkdarkdarkPrime time0.3mm of rain falling0.3mm of rain falling0.8mm of rain falling0.5mm of rain falling0.3mm of rain falling0.5mm of rain falling0.3mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain falling1.4mm of rain falling2.0mm of rain fallingdarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm————0.30.30.80.50.30.50.30.21.420.5—
    Grassdrydrydrydrysoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundfirmfirmfirmfirmbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbog
    Temp11°10°10°10°11°11°11°12°12°12°12°12°11°11°11°11°
    Windkm/h7432342115130122
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓——

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.16). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Tuesday 20 October · 8am–9amConfident

    8am–9am — ground firm — 22mm rain over the last week, medium (loam) soil

    Limiting factor:ground firmness

  3. Wednesday 21 October: nothing to cut. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.07).
    Wednesday 21 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growing
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm————0.10.10.20.20.21110.20.20.2—
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbog
    Temp9°9°8°8°9°9°9°9°9°9°8°8°8°8°8°8°
    Windkm/h11121210101012171918151313151614
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓——

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.07). Not enough to be worth cutting, which is why no hour is recommended today whatever the weather does.

    Wednesday 21 OctoberConfident

    Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.07).

    Nothing to cut. The odds below describe the weather only — growth decides whether a cut is wanted, and it is judged separately.

    Limiting factor:growth

  4. Thursday 22 October: nothing to cut. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.01).
    Thursday 22 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growing
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm————————————————
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakeddampdampdampdampwetsoaked
    Groundbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbog
    Temp0°0°1°3°5°8°9°10°10°11°11°10°8°6°4°3°
    Windkm/h1111248121515141311976
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓——

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.01). Not enough to be worth cutting, which is why no hour is recommended today whatever the weather does.

    Thursday 22 OctoberConfident

    Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.01).

    Nothing to cut. The odds below describe the weather only — growth decides whether a cut is wanted, and it is judged separately.

    Limiting factor:growth

  5. Friday 23 October: nothing to cut. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.02).
    Friday 23 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growing
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm0.40.40.40.30.30.33.13.13.12.12.12.11.21.21.2—
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbog
    Temp6°6°6°6°6°6°6°6°5°5°5°5°6°6°6°6°
    Windkm/h27262626262628313332312824201718
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓———

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.02). Not enough to be worth cutting, which is why no hour is recommended today whatever the weather does.

    Friday 23 OctoberReasonably confident

    Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.02).

    Nothing to cut. The odds below describe the weather only — growth decides whether a cut is wanted, and it is judged separately.

    Limiting factor:growth

  6. Saturday 24 October: nothing to cut. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.05).
    Saturday 24 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growing
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm0.10.10.1—————————0.10.10.10.2
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbog
    Temp6°7°7°7°8°8°8°9°10°10°9°9°9°8°7°7°
    Windkm/h20181818191919191917151414151718
    Daylight————✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓———

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.05). Not enough to be worth cutting, which is why no hour is recommended today whatever the weather does.

    Saturday 24 OctoberReasonably confident

    Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.05).

    Nothing to cut. The odds below describe the weather only — growth decides whether a cut is wanted, and it is judged separately.

    Limiting factor:growth

  7. Sunday 25 October: no hours worth using. No — 2.0mm of rain falling.
    Sunday 25 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictdarkdarkdark2.0mm of rain falling2.0mm of rain falling2.0mm of rain falling2.0mm of rain falling2.0mm of rain falling0.6mm of rain falling0.6mm of rain falling0.6mm of rain falling0.6mm of rain fallingdarkdarkdarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm1.31.32222220.60.60.60.60.60.60.30.3
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbog
    Temp14°15°14°14°13°12°12°11°11°10°10°10°9°9°9°9°
    Windkm/h37383938373737373941434548505152
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓————

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.15). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Sunday 25 OctoberReasonably confident

    No — 2.0mm of rain falling.

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

  8. Monday 26 October: nothing to cut. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.09).
    Monday 26 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growing
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm——0.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.50.5
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundsoddensoddensoddensoddensoddensoddensoddensoddensoddensoddensoddensoddensoddensoddenbogbog
    Temp9°9°9°9°9°9°9°9°9°10°10°10°10°11°10°10°
    Windkm/h9101215192426272521161414151513
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓————

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.09). Not enough to be worth cutting, which is why no hour is recommended today whatever the weather does.

    Monday 26 OctoberReasonably confident

    Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.09).

    Nothing to cut. The odds below describe the weather only — growth decides whether a cut is wanted, and it is judged separately.

    Limiting factor:growth

  9. Tuesday 27 October: no hours worth using. No — 2.0mm of rain falling.
    Tuesday 27 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictdarkdarkdark2.0mm of rain falling2.0mm of rain falling2.0mm of rain falling2.0mm of rain falling2.0mm of rain falling0.4mm of rain falling0.4mm of rain falling0.4mm of rain falling0.4mm of rain fallingdarkdarkdarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm1.21.22222220.40.40.40.40.40.4——
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbog
    Temp12°12°12°12°12°12°11°11°11°11°11°10°10°10°10°10°
    Windkm/h28303131323334353533313029282929
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓————

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.15). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Tuesday 27 OctoberLow confidence this far out

    No — 2.0mm of rain falling.

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

  10. Wednesday 28 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.9mm of rain falling.
    Wednesday 28 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictdarkdarkdark0.9mm of rain falling0.9mm of rain falling0.9mm of rain falling0.9mm of rain falling0.9mm of rain falling0.9mm of rain falling0.9mm of rain falling0.9mm of rain falling0.9mm of rain fallingdarkdarkdarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm0.10.10.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.80.8
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbog
    Temp10°10°10°10°10°10°10°10°11°11°11°11°11°11°11°11°
    Windkm/h24232323242526272829303132323131
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓————

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.13). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Wednesday 28 OctoberLow confidence this far out

    No — 0.9mm of rain falling.

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

good to go touch and go dark, frost or snow already goneFainter means fewer forecast runs agree.

How you feel about mowing

Sensible middle ground.

Petrol or battery. The baseline.

Growth

How fast it is growing, and when it will need cutting again.

10%Barely growing

Of the fastest this grass could grow. The turf-industry measure, from today's temperature and day length.

The lawn is barely growing, so it does not need cutting. Leave it — taking leaf off a sward that cannot replace it costs more than it gives.

Held back by both temperature and short days — 10.3 hours of daylight at 10°C.

Over the next 10 days
about 3mm of leaf
Next cut due
not within the next ten days

This only knows temperature and day length. Feeding, watering, shade and cutting height all move it, so treat it as a rough guide.

Worked out from the PACE Turf growth potential model and day length —how and why.

Seeding

Soil temperature at germination depth, and when the window opens.

Soil temperature in CA28, Cumberland

7.7°C46°F

at 6cm — germination depth

Soil is warming — it should cross 9°C in about 8 days, though the forecast doesn't run far enough to confirm it holds.

Warming over the next 10 days.

Cross-checks against an independent estimate from air temperature (9.2°C), which agrees to within 0.7°C.

Almost every UK and Irish lawn is a ryegrass and fescue mix, whether it was sown or turfed. We assume that, and use 9°C as the seeding threshold.

Thresholds for every species

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil neededDays to sprout
Perennial ryegrasslikely yours8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescuelikely yours8–10°C10–14
Tall fescue10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrass12–13°C14–28

Feeding

Why timing decides whether a feed does anything at all.

Coming in the app

Grass takes up nitrogen when it is growing. Feed a lawn that has stopped and most of it washes past the roots — which is why timing beats product choice.

Right now this lawn is not growing fast enough to make much use of a feed.

The app will work out the actual feeding windows for your lawn — along with weed control, scarifying and moss treatment — and tell you when they open without you having to check.

Why timing beats product choice

CA28, Cumberland in detail

Soil temperature in CA28, Cumberland is currently 7.7°C at 6cm, and rising about 1.0°C over the next 10 days. That depth matters because it is where grass seed sits and where roots start working, and it lags air temperature by days — which is why a warm afternoon here tells you very little on its own.

Lawns in this area are typically perennial ryegrass with fescue, which is what most lawns round here are sown with. That blend needs the soil to hold above 9°C before seed germinates reliably. Soil is warming — it should cross 9°C in about 8 days, though the forecast doesn't run far enough to confirm it holds.

2 of the next 10 days look workable. As for the weekend: nothing doing. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.05).

The next recommended window in CA28 opens at 10am on Monday 19 October, and holds while conditions stay put. Underfoot, the ground reads as firm after 23mm rain over the last week, medium (loam) soil.

There is frost in the forecast for CA28, Cumberland: Thursday 22 October has hours cold enough to freeze the leaf. Stay off the grass until it lifts — mowing frosted turf ruptures the cells and the damage shows for weeks.

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Single-model forecast here — no ensemble covers this location, so there are no odds to show. Forecast from Open-Meteo, refreshed through the day. Soil temperature is modelled, not measured — how that works and where the thresholds come from.