BT3, Belfast

BT3, Belfast54.6170, -5.9040from your postcode

Mowing

When you can next cut it, and the best slot this weekend.

Best weekend slot

Nothing doing

Verdict: Not worth it

Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.04). Conditions themselves are fine.

Today afternoon is your first decent window.

Next mow

Today midday–2pm

Verdict: Prime time

ground firm — 10mm rain over the last week, coarse (sandy) soil

  • Warning: Frost about. Thursday 22 October has frosted hours. Stay off it until it lifts — walking on frosted grass bruises it, and mowing it ruptures the leaf. More

The next 10 days

Each row is a day, morning on the left. The more solid a block, the more of the forecast runs agree you can mow. Open a day for the hour-by-hour forecast behind it.

  1. Monday 19 October: 6 hours worth using. midday–2pm — ground firm — 10mm rain over the last week, coarse (sandy) soil
    Monday 19 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    VerdictAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneAlready goneAlready gonePrime timePrime time0.2mm of rain fallingPrime timePrime timePrime timePrime timedarkdark
    Rainchance·······—————————
    Rainmm·······——0.2——————
    Grass·······drydrydampdampdrydrydrydrydry
    Ground·······firmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirm
    Temp·······11°11°10°12°12°12°12°11°11°
    Windkm/h·······141210121511885
    Daylight·······✓✓✓✓✓✓✓——

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.13). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Monday 19 October · best slotmidday–2pmConfident

    midday–2pm — ground firm — 10mm rain over the last week, coarse (sandy) soil

    Also mowable today: 3pm–7pm

    Limiting factor:ground firmness

  2. Tuesday 20 October: 7 hours worth using. 9am–4pm — ground firm — 10mm rain over the last week, coarse (sandy) soil
    Tuesday 20 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    VerdictdarkdarkdarkdarkPrime timePrime timePrime timePrime timePrime timePrime timePrime time0.1mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain falling0.1mm of rain fallingdarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm———————————0.10.10.1——
    Grassdrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydampdrydry
    Groundfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirm
    Temp9°10°10°10°10°11°11°12°12°12°12°12°11°11°11°11°
    Windkm/h98109798976766552
    Daylight————✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓——

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.14). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Tuesday 20 October · 9am–4pmConfident

    9am–4pm — ground firm — 10mm rain over the last week, coarse (sandy) soil

    Limiting factor:ground firmness

  3. Wednesday 21 October: nothing to cut. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.06).
    Wednesday 21 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growing
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm0.30.80.40.40.41.70.1—————————
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedwetwetwetsoakedsoaked
    Groundfirmfirmfirmbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbogbog
    Temp9°9°8°8°8°8°8°9°9°10°10°10°9°8°6°5°
    Windkm/h2624272424151617202120191613108
    Daylight————✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓——

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.06). Not enough to be worth cutting, which is why no hour is recommended today whatever the weather does.

    Wednesday 21 OctoberConfident

    Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.06).

    Nothing to cut. The odds below describe the weather only — growth decides whether a cut is wanted, and it is judged separately.

    Limiting factor:growth

  4. Thursday 22 October: nothing to cut. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.03). Conditions themselves are fine.
    Thursday 22 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growing
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm————————————————
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakeddrydrydrydrydrydrydry
    Groundfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirm
    Temp3°2°2°3°4°5°7°9°10°11°12°11°10°9°8°8°
    Windkm/h7888888910111111109910
    Daylight————✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓——

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.03). Not enough to be worth cutting, which is why no hour is recommended today whatever the weather does.

    Thursday 22 OctoberConfident

    Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.03). Conditions themselves are fine.

    Nothing to cut. The odds below describe the weather only — growth decides whether a cut is wanted, and it is judged separately.

    Limiting factor:growth

  5. Friday 23 October: nothing to cut. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.03).
    Friday 23 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growing
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm1.31.31.31.21.21.20.70.70.70.20.20.2————
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirm
    Temp8°8°7°7°7°7°7°7°7°7°7°7°7°7°6°6°
    Windkm/h14131213141518212323222222212120
    Daylight————✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓——

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.03). Not enough to be worth cutting, which is why no hour is recommended today whatever the weather does.

    Friday 23 OctoberReasonably confident

    Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.03).

    Nothing to cut. The odds below describe the weather only — growth decides whether a cut is wanted, and it is judged separately.

    Limiting factor:growth

  6. Saturday 24 October: nothing to cut. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.04). Conditions themselves are fine.
    Saturday 24 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growing
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm————————————1.51.51.51
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakeddampdrydrysoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundsoftsoftsoftsoftfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirmfirm
    Temp5°5°5°5°6°6°7°8°9°9°9°8°9°9°9°9°
    Windkm/h19191918171615141414151719222426
    Daylight————✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓——

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.04). Not enough to be worth cutting, which is why no hour is recommended today whatever the weather does.

    Saturday 24 OctoberReasonably confident

    Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.04). Conditions themselves are fine.

    Nothing to cut. The odds below describe the weather only — growth decides whether a cut is wanted, and it is judged separately.

    Limiting factor:growth

  7. Sunday 25 October: no hours worth using. No — 0.3mm of rain falling.
    Sunday 25 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictdarkdarkdark0.3mm of rain falling0.3mm of rain falling0.3mm of rain falling0.3mm of rain falling0.3mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain falling0.2mm of rain fallingdarkdarkdark
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm0.60.60.30.30.30.30.30.30.20.20.20.20.20.2——
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedwetwetwetdampdampdamp
    Groundsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoft
    Temp15°15°15°14°13°12°11°10°10°10°10°9°9°9°9°9°
    Windkm/h22232527293132343637394142434344
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓———

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.15). Enough to be worth cutting. Growth decides whether a cut is wanted, not how well it will go, so it is not one of the rows above and does not move the chances.

    Sunday 25 OctoberReasonably confident

    No — 0.3mm of rain falling.

    Limiting factor:grass wetness

  8. Monday 26 October: nothing to cut. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.05).
    Monday 26 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growing
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm0.20.20.60.60.60.60.60.6——————0.30.3
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoaked
    Groundsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoft
    Temp6°6°7°8°9°10°10°11°11°11°10°10°9°9°9°9°
    Windkm/h111210659141717161513111087
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓———

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.05). Not enough to be worth cutting, which is why no hour is recommended today whatever the weather does.

    Monday 26 OctoberReasonably confident

    Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.05).

    Nothing to cut. The odds below describe the weather only — growth decides whether a cut is wanted, and it is judged separately.

    Limiting factor:growth

  9. Tuesday 27 October: nothing to cut. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.08).
    Tuesday 27 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growing
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm0.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.1————————
    Grasssoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedsoakedwetwetdampdampdampdampdry
    Groundsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoft
    Temp8°8°9°9°10°11°11°11°11°11°11°10°9°9°9°8°
    Windkm/h681013172125272828272524232323
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓————

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.08). Not enough to be worth cutting, which is why no hour is recommended today whatever the weather does.

    Tuesday 27 OctoberLow confidence this far out

    Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.08).

    Nothing to cut. The odds below describe the weather only — growth decides whether a cut is wanted, and it is judged separately.

    Limiting factor:growth

  10. Wednesday 28 October: nothing to cut. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.07). Conditions themselves are fine.
    Wednesday 28 October, hour by hour
    5am6am7am8am9am10am11ammidday1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm
    Chance————————————————
    Verdictnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growingnothing to cut — the grass is barely growing
    Rainchance————————————————
    Rainmm————————0.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.1
    Grassdrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydrydry
    Groundsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoftsoft
    Temp7°7°8°8°9°10°11°11°11°11°11°10°10°9°9°9°
    Windkm/h19181818181819191920212224252525
    Daylight———✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓————

    Growth: barely growing (growth potential 0.07). Not enough to be worth cutting, which is why no hour is recommended today whatever the weather does.

    Wednesday 28 OctoberLow confidence this far out

    Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.07). Conditions themselves are fine.

    Nothing to cut. The odds below describe the weather only — growth decides whether a cut is wanted, and it is judged separately.

    Limiting factor:growth

good to go touch and go dark, frost or snow already goneFainter means fewer forecast runs agree.

How you feel about mowing

Sensible middle ground.

Petrol or battery. The baseline.

Growth

How fast it is growing, and when it will need cutting again.

13%Barely growing

Of the fastest this grass could grow. The turf-industry measure, from today's temperature and day length.

The lawn is barely growing, so it does not need cutting. Leave it — taking leaf off a sward that cannot replace it costs more than it gives.

Held back by both temperature and short days — 10.3 hours of daylight at 10°C.

Over the next 10 days
about 3mm of leaf
Next cut due
not within the next ten days

This only knows temperature and day length. Feeding, watering, shade and cutting height all move it, so treat it as a rough guide.

Worked out from the PACE Turf growth potential model and day length —how and why.

Seeding

Soil temperature at germination depth, and when the window opens.

Soil temperature in BT3, Belfast

7.5°C46°F

at 6cm — germination depth

Too cold to seed — 7.5°C at 6cm, and it doesn't reach 9°C within the next 10 days.

Warming over the next 10 days.

An independent estimate from air temperature gives 10.2°C — 3.6°C away. The two models disagree, so treat this figure with caution.

Almost every UK and Irish lawn is a ryegrass and fescue mix, whether it was sown or turfed. We assume that, and use 9°C as the seeding threshold.

Thresholds for every species

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil neededDays to sprout
Perennial ryegrasslikely yours8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescuelikely yours8–10°C10–14
Tall fescue10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrass12–13°C14–28

Feeding

Why timing decides whether a feed does anything at all.

Coming in the app

Grass takes up nitrogen when it is growing. Feed a lawn that has stopped and most of it washes past the roots — which is why timing beats product choice.

Right now this lawn is not growing fast enough to make much use of a feed.

The app will work out the actual feeding windows for your lawn — along with weed control, scarifying and moss treatment — and tell you when they open without you having to check.

Why timing beats product choice

BT3, Belfast in detail

Soil temperature in BT3, Belfast is currently 7.5°C at 6cm, and rising about 1.8°C over the next 10 days. That depth matters because it is where grass seed sits and where roots start working, and it lags air temperature by days — which is why a warm afternoon here tells you very little on its own.

Lawns in this area are typically perennial ryegrass with fescue, which is what most lawns round here are sown with. That blend needs the soil to hold above 9°C before seed germinates reliably. Too cold to seed — 7.5°C at 6cm, and it doesn't reach 9°C within the next 10 days.

2 of the next 10 days look workable. As for the weekend: nothing doing. Nothing to cut — the grass is barely growing (growth potential 0.04). Conditions themselves are fine.

The next recommended window in BT3 opens at midday on Monday 19 October, and holds while conditions stay put. Underfoot, the ground reads as firm after 10mm rain over the last week, coarse (sandy) soil.

There is frost in the forecast for BT3, Belfast: Thursday 22 October has hours cold enough to freeze the leaf. Stay off the grass until it lifts — mowing frosted turf ruptures the cells and the damage shows for weeks.

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Single-model forecast here — no ensemble covers this location, so there are no odds to show. Forecast from Open-Meteo, refreshed through the day. Soil temperature is modelled, not measured — how that works and where the thresholds come from.