Soil temperature in Toronto, Ontario

Soil temperature

23.5°C74°F

at 6cm — germination depth

Cooling over the next 11 days.

Seeding conditions are open — soil is 23.5°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.

Most cool-season lawns in the northern US and Canada are bluegrass, tall fescue, or a mix of the two. We assume that, and use12.5°C as the seeding threshold.

I know what grass I have

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil tempDays
Perennial ryegrass8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescue8–10°C10–14
Tall fescuelikely yours10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrasslikely yours12–13°C14–28

Soil temperature at 6cm in Toronto, Ontario is currently 23.5°C, and falling about 22.4°C over the next 11 days. That depth matters because it is where grass seed sits and where roots start working, and it lags air temperature by days — which is why a warm afternoon here tells you very little on its own.

Lawns in this area are typically Kentucky bluegrass with tall fescue, the usual mix for cool-season lawns at this latitude. That blend needs the soil to hold above 12.5°C before seed germinates reliably. Seeding conditions are open — soil is 23.5°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.

7 of the next 10 days are good mowing days. The other 3 are held back by wet grass or soft ground. The best weekend slot right now is Sunday 10am–8pm, on the basis that ground soft in places — 10mm rain over the last week.

The next recommended window in Toronto opens at 2pm on Wednesday 2 September, because that is when the dew has burnt off — earlier than that and you are cutting wet grass. Underfoot, the ground reads as soft in places after 6mm rain over the last week.

See the full mowing forecast for Toronto

The next 10 days

Column height is how mowable the day is; the lighter band is the best stretch within it. The line is soil temperature at 6cm. It crosses the seeding threshold inside this forecast.

12.5°C — seeding

Soil at 6cm 22.5°C cooling to 0.0°C

Tuesday 1 September: Not worth it. No — grass wet, rain earlier today.

Tuesday 1 SeptemberConfident

No — grass wet, rain earlier today.

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass wetrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places6mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.97
Good:Temperature
Temperature20°C
Good:Wind
Wind light9 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Wednesday 2 September: Good. 2pm–6pm — grass dry — no rain since Monday

Wednesday 2 September · 2pm–6pmConfident

2pm–6pm — grass dry — no rain since Monday

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Monday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places7mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.97
Good:Temperature
Temperature20°C
Good:Wind
Wind light4 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts once the dew has burnt off

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Thursday 3 September: Good. 11am–3pm — grass dry — rain earlier today

Thursday 3 September · 11am–3pmConfident

11am–3pm — grass dry — rain earlier today

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places10mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.92
Marginal:Temperature
Temperature18°C
Good:Wind
Wind light7 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts once the dew has burnt off

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Friday 4 September: Good. 8am–8pm — ground soft in places — 10mm rain over the last week

Friday 4 September · 8am–8pmConfident

8am–8pm — ground soft in places — 10mm rain over the last week

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Wednesday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places10mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.98
Good:Temperature
Temperature17°C
Good:Wind
Wind light7 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Saturday 5 September: Good. 8am–8pm — ground soft in places — 10mm rain over the last week

Saturday 5 September · 8am–8pmReasonably confident

8am–8pm — ground soft in places — 10mm rain over the last week

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Wednesday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places10mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.99
Good:Temperature
Temperature15°C
Good:Wind
Wind light10 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Sunday 6 September: Good. 10am–8pm — ground soft in places — 10mm rain over the last week

Sunday 6 September · 10am–8pmReasonably confident

10am–8pm — ground soft in places — 10mm rain over the last week

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Wednesday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places10mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.98
Good:Temperature
Temperature15°C
Good:Wind
Wind light6 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Monday 7 September: Good. 8am–8pm — ground soft in places — 9mm rain over the last week

Monday 7 September · 8am–8pmReasonably confident

8am–8pm — ground soft in places — 9mm rain over the last week

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Wednesday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places9mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.99
Good:Temperature
Temperature15°C
Good:Wind
Wind light4 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Tuesday 8 September: Good. 8am–8pm — ground soft in places — 4mm rain over the last week

Tuesday 8 September · 8am–8pmReasonably confident

8am–8pm — ground soft in places — 4mm rain over the last week

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Wednesday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places4mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.96
Good:Temperature
Temperature17°C
Good:Wind
Wind light10 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Wednesday 9 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Wednesday 9 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Wednesday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm4mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.75
Good:Temperature
Temperature14°C
Good:Wind
Wind light13 km/h

Limiting factor:none

Thursday 10 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Thursday 10 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 0 hours ago
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm0mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.95
Good:Temperature
Temperature17°C
Good:Wind
Wind light5 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Nearby

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These are town-centre figures. Yours will differ a little.

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