Soil temperature in Kitchener, Ontario

Soil temperature

24.3°C76°F

at 6cm — germination depth

Cooling over the next 11 days.

Seeding conditions are open — soil is 24.3°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.

Most cool-season lawns in the northern US and Canada are bluegrass, tall fescue, or a mix of the two. We assume that, and use12.5°C as the seeding threshold.

I know what grass I have

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil tempDays
Perennial ryegrass8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescue8–10°C10–14
Tall fescuelikely yours10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrasslikely yours12–13°C14–28

Soil temperature at 6cm in Kitchener, Ontario is currently 24.3°C, and falling about 22.6°C over the next 11 days. That depth matters because it is where grass seed sits and where roots start working, and it lags air temperature by days — which is why a warm afternoon here tells you very little on its own.

Lawns in this area are typically Kentucky bluegrass with tall fescue, the usual mix for cool-season lawns at this latitude. That blend needs the soil to hold above 12.5°C before seed germinates reliably. Seeding conditions are open — soil is 24.3°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.

7 of the next 10 days are good mowing days. The best weekend slot right now is Sunday 10am–8pm, on the basis that no rain since Friday, ground firm.

The next recommended window in Kitchener opens at 4pm on Wednesday 2 September, and holds while conditions stay put. Underfoot, the ground reads as firm after 22mm rain over the last week.

See the full mowing forecast for Kitchener

The next 10 days

Column height is how mowable the day is; the lighter band is the best stretch within it. The line is soil temperature at 6cm. It crosses the seeding threshold inside this forecast.

12.5°C — seeding

Soil at 6cm 22.7°C cooling to 0.0°C

Tuesday 1 September: Not worth it. No — cool, 26°C.

Tuesday 1 SeptemberConfident

No — cool, 26°C.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Monday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm22mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.78
Good:Temperature
Temperature22°C
Good:Wind
Wind light2 km/h

Limiting factor:temperature

Wednesday 2 September: Good. 4pm–8pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Wednesday 2 September · 4pm–8pmConfident

4pm–8pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 3 hours ago
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm22mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.83
Marginal:Temperature
Temperature21°C
Good:Wind
Wind light14 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighbours

Limiting factor:none

Thursday 3 September: Good. 8am–8pm — grass dry — rain earlier today

Thursday 3 September · 8am–8pmConfident

8am–8pm — grass dry — rain earlier today

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm23mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.96
Good:Temperature
Temperature18°C
Good:Wind
Wind light4 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts once the dew has burnt off

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Friday 4 September: Good. 8am–8pm — grass dry — rain earlier today

Friday 4 September · 8am–8pmConfident

8am–8pm — grass dry — rain earlier today

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm23mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.98
Good:Temperature
Temperature15°C
Good:Wind
Wind light6 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts once the dew has burnt off

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Saturday 5 September: Good. 8am–8pm — no rain since Friday, ground firm

Saturday 5 September · 8am–8pmReasonably confident

8am–8pm — no rain since Friday, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Friday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm24mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.85
Good:Temperature
Temperature12°C
Good:Wind
Wind light11 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Sunday 6 September: Good. 10am–8pm — no rain since Friday, ground firm

Sunday 6 September · 10am–8pmReasonably confident

10am–8pm — no rain since Friday, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Friday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm24mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.77
Good:Temperature
Temperature12°C
Good:Wind
Wind light6 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts once the dew has burnt off

Limiting factor:none

Monday 7 September: Good. 8am–8pm — no rain since Friday, ground firm

Monday 7 September · 8am–8pmReasonably confident

8am–8pm — no rain since Friday, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Friday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm22mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.85
Good:Temperature
Temperature12°C
Good:Wind
Wind light4 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts once the dew has burnt off

Limiting factor:none

Tuesday 8 September: Good. 8am–8pm — no rain since Friday, ground firm

Tuesday 8 September · 8am–8pmReasonably confident

8am–8pm — no rain since Friday, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Friday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm2mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.85
Good:Temperature
Temperature16°C
Good:Wind
Wind light9 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Wednesday 9 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Wednesday 9 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Friday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm2mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.67
Good:Temperature
Temperature12°C
Good:Wind
Wind light17 km/h

Limiting factor:none

Thursday 10 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Thursday 10 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 0 hours ago
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm2mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.91
Good:Temperature
Temperature19°C
Good:Wind
Wind light19 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

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