Soil temperature in Fargo, North Dakota

Soil temperature

75°F24.0°C

at 6cm — germination depth

Cooling over the next 11 days.

Seeding conditions are open — soil is 24.0°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.

Most cool-season lawns in the northern US and Canada are bluegrass, tall fescue, or a mix of the two. We assume that, and use12.5°C as the seeding threshold.

I know what grass I have

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil tempDays
Perennial ryegrass8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescue8–10°C10–14
Tall fescuelikely yours10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrasslikely yours12–13°C14–28

Soil temperature at 6cm in Fargo, North Dakota is currently 24.0°C, and falling about 21.2°C over the next 11 days. That depth matters because it is where grass seed sits and where roots start working, and it lags air temperature by days — which is why a warm afternoon here tells you very little on its own.

Lawns in this area are typically Kentucky bluegrass with tall fescue, the usual mix for cool-season lawns at this latitude. That blend needs the soil to hold above 12.5°C before seed germinates reliably. Seeding conditions are open — soil is 24.0°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.

7 of the next 10 days are good mowing days. The other 3 are held back by wet grass or soft ground. The best weekend slot right now is Monday 10am–8pm, on the basis that ground soft in places — 27mm rain over the last week.

The next recommended window in Fargo opens at 7pm on Tuesday 1 September, and holds while conditions stay put. Underfoot, the ground reads as firm after 1mm rain over the last week.

See the full mowing forecast for Fargo

The next 10 days

Column height is how mowable the day is; the lighter band is the best stretch within it. The line is soil temperature at 6cm. It crosses the seeding threshold inside this forecast.

12.5°C — seeding

Soil at 6cm 23.7°C cooling to 0.0°C

Tuesday 1 September: Good. 7pm–9pm — cool — 24°C

Tuesday 1 September · 7pm–9pmConfident

7pm–9pm — cool — 24°C

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Friday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm1mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.92
Marginal:Temperature
Cool24°C
Good:Wind
Wind light12 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but fine

Limiting factor:temperature

Wednesday 2 September: Good. 8am–1pm — no rain since Friday, ground firm

Wednesday 2 September · 8am–1pmConfident

8am–1pm — no rain since Friday, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Friday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm1mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.89
Marginal:Temperature
Temperature16°C
Good:Wind
Wind light5 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Thursday 3 September: Good. 8am–9am — no rain since Friday, ground firm

Thursday 3 September · 8am–9amConfident

8am–9am — no rain since Friday, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Friday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm1mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.53
Poor:Temperature
Temperature21°C
Good:Wind
Wind light11 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Friday 4 September: Good. 8am–11am — ground soft in places — 1mm rain over the last week

Friday 4 September · 8am–11amConfident

8am–11am — ground soft in places — 1mm rain over the last week

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places1mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.50
Poor:Temperature
Temperature18°C
Good:Wind
Wind light8 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Saturday 5 September: Good. 8am–10am — growing slowly — growth potential 0.25

Saturday 5 September · 8am–10amReasonably confident

8am–10am — growing slowly — growth potential 0.25

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Thursday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places1mm rain over the last week
Marginal:Growth
Growing slowlygrowth potential 0.25
Poor:Temperature
Temperature21°C
Good:Wind
Wind light12 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:growth

Sunday 6 September: Good. No — ground waterlogged.

Sunday 6 SeptemberReasonably confident

No — ground waterlogged.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places1mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.70
Poor:Temperature
Temperature19°C
Good:Wind
Wind light6 km/h

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Monday 7 September: Good. 10am–8pm — ground soft in places — 27mm rain over the last week

Monday 7 September · 10am–8pmReasonably confident

10am–8pm — ground soft in places — 27mm rain over the last week

Good:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 2 hours ago
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places27mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.80
Marginal:Temperature
Temperature18°C
Good:Wind
Wind light22 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Tuesday 8 September: Not worth it. No — 0.1mm of rain falling.

Tuesday 8 SeptemberReasonably confident

No — 0.1mm of rain falling.

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 0 hours ago
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places29mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.87
Good:Temperature
Temperature14°C
Good:Wind
Wind light20 km/h

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Wednesday 9 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Wednesday 9 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 0 hours ago
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places32mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.82
Good:Temperature
Temperature15°C
Marginal:Wind
Wind light21 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Thursday 10 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Thursday 10 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places46mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.50
Good:Temperature
Temperature10°C
Good:Wind
Wind light13 km/h

Limiting factor:none

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