Soil temperature in Dayton, Ohio

Soil temperature

85°F29.3°C

at 6cm — germination depth

Cooling over the next 11 days.

Too warm to seed — the soil is heat-stressed. Wait for it to cool.

Most cool-season lawns in the northern US and Canada are bluegrass, tall fescue, or a mix of the two. We assume that, and use12.5°C as the seeding threshold.

I know what grass I have

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil tempDays
Perennial ryegrass8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescue8–10°C10–14
Tall fescuelikely yours10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrasslikely yours12–13°C14–28

Soil temperature at 6cm in Dayton, Ohio is currently 29.3°C, and falling about 26.6°C over the next 11 days. That depth matters because it is where grass seed sits and where roots start working, and it lags air temperature by days — which is why a warm afternoon here tells you very little on its own.

Lawns in this area are typically Kentucky bluegrass with tall fescue, the usual mix for cool-season lawns at this latitude. That blend needs the soil to hold above 12.5°C before seed germinates reliably. Too warm to seed — the soil is heat-stressed. Wait for it to cool.

8 of the next 10 days are good mowing days. The other 2 are held back by wet grass or soft ground. The best weekend slot right now is Monday 10am–2pm, on the basis that no rain since Saturday, ground firm.

The next recommended window in Dayton opens at 8am on Wednesday 2 September, because that is first light. Underfoot, the ground reads as firm after 37mm rain over the last week.

See the full mowing forecast for Dayton

The next 10 days

Column height is how mowable the day is; the lighter band is the best stretch within it. The line is soil temperature at 6cm. It crosses the seeding threshold inside this forecast.

12.5°C — seeding

Soil at 6cm 29.3°C cooling to 0.0°C

Tuesday 1 September: Good. No — heat stress, 30°C.

Tuesday 1 SeptemberConfident

No — heat stress, 30°C.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Wednesday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm37mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.38
Poor:Temperature
Heat stress30°C
Good:Wind
Wind light6 km/h

Limiting factor:temperature

Wednesday 2 September: Good. 8am–11am — growing slowly — growth potential 0.31

Wednesday 2 September · 8am–11amConfident

8am–11am — growing slowly — growth potential 0.31

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Wednesday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm37mm rain over the last week
Marginal:Growth
Growing slowlygrowth potential 0.31
Poor:Temperature
Cool23°C
Good:Wind
Wind light6 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts at first light

Limiting factor:growth

Thursday 3 September: Good. 8am–11am — growing slowly — growth potential 0.30

Thursday 3 September · 8am–11amConfident

8am–11am — growing slowly — growth potential 0.30

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain in over a week
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm37mm rain over the last week
Marginal:Growth
Growing slowlygrowth potential 0.30
Poor:Temperature
Temperature23°C
Good:Wind
Wind light7 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts at first light

Limiting factor:growth

Friday 4 September: Good. 1pm–2pm — growing slowly — growth potential 0.31

Friday 4 September · 1pm–2pmConfident

1pm–2pm — growing slowly — growth potential 0.31

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain in over a week
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm0mm rain over the last week
Marginal:Growth
Growing slowlygrowth potential 0.31
Poor:Temperature
Cool25°C
Good:Wind
Wind light7 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighbours

Limiting factor:growth

Saturday 5 September: Good. 4pm–9pm — grass dry — dried off since a shower 4 hours ago

Saturday 5 September · 4pm–9pmReasonably confident

4pm–9pm — grass dry — dried off since a shower 4 hours ago

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 4 hours ago
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm0mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.85
Good:Temperature
Temperature20°C
Good:Wind
Wind light8 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts once the dew has burnt off

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Sunday 6 September: Good. 10am–8pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Sunday 6 September · 10am–8pmReasonably confident

10am–8pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm7mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.98
Good:Temperature
Temperature15°C
Good:Wind
Wind light9 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Monday 7 September: Good. 10am–2pm — no rain since Saturday, ground firm

Monday 7 September · 10am–2pmReasonably confident

10am–2pm — no rain since Saturday, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Saturday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm7mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.94
Marginal:Temperature
Temperature17°C
Good:Wind
Wind light3 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Tuesday 8 September: Good. No — 0.6mm of rain falling.

Tuesday 8 SeptemberReasonably confident

No — 0.6mm of rain falling.

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass wetraining now
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm7mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.96
Good:Temperature
Temperature19°C
Good:Wind
Wind light7 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Wednesday 9 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Wednesday 9 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 3 hours ago
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm25mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.91
Marginal:Temperature
Temperature20°C
Good:Wind
Wind light6 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Thursday 10 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Thursday 10 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 3 hours ago
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm29mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.75
Good:Temperature
Temperature22°C
Good:Wind
Wind light14 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Nearby

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These are town-centre figures. Yours will differ a little.

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