Winnipeg, Manitoba

Best weekend slot

Sunday midday–3pm

Verdict: Good

grass dry — rain earlier today

Next mow

Today 8pm–9pm

Verdict: Good

no rain since Monday, ground soft in places

How you feel about mowing

Sensible middle ground.

Petrol or battery. The baseline.

The next 10 days

Column height is how mowable the day is; the lighter band is the best stretch within it. The line is soil temperature at 6cm. It crosses the seeding threshold inside this forecast.

12.5°C — seeding

Soil at 6cm 21.0°C cooling to 0.0°C

Tuesday 1 September: Good. 8pm–9pm — no rain since Monday, ground soft in places

Tuesday 1 September · 8pm–9pmConfident

8pm–9pm — no rain since Monday, ground soft in places

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Monday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places27mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.94
Good:Temperature
Temperature19°C
Good:Wind
Wind light9 km/h
Sociable hours
Your neighbours will remember it

Limiting factor:none

Wednesday 2 September: Good. 8am–9pm — no rain since Monday, ground firm

Wednesday 2 September · 8am–9pmConfident

8am–9pm — no rain since Monday, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Monday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm27mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.94
Good:Temperature
Temperature12°C
Good:Wind
Wind light4 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Thursday 3 September: Good. 8am–2pm — no rain since Monday, ground firm

Thursday 3 September · 8am–2pmConfident

8am–2pm — no rain since Monday, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Monday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm27mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 1.00
Good:Temperature
Temperature14°C
Good:Wind
Wind light12 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Friday 4 September: Good. 11am–3pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Friday 4 September · 11am–3pmConfident

11am–3pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm32mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.94
Marginal:Temperature
Temperature17°C
Good:Wind
Wind light8 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts once the dew has burnt off

Limiting factor:none

Saturday 5 September: Not worth it. No — 0.1mm of rain falling.

Saturday 5 SeptemberReasonably confident

No — 0.1mm of rain falling.

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 0 hours ago
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places35mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.91
Good:Temperature
Temperature20°C
Good:Wind
Wind light16 km/h

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Sunday 6 September: Good. midday–3pm — grass dry — rain earlier today

Sunday 6 September · midday–3pmReasonably confident

midday–3pm — grass dry — rain earlier today

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places51mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.94
Marginal:Temperature
Temperature17°C
Good:Wind
Wind light9 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts once the dew has burnt off

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Monday 7 September: Good. 8am–8pm — ground soft in places — 54mm rain over the last week

Monday 7 September · 8am–8pmReasonably confident

8am–8pm — ground soft in places — 54mm rain over the last week

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Sunday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places54mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.85
Good:Temperature
Temperature14°C
Good:Wind
Wind light21 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Tuesday 8 September: Not worth it. No — ground waterlogged.

Tuesday 8 SeptemberReasonably confident

No — ground waterlogged.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Sunday
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places27mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.37
Good:Temperature
Temperature11°C
Good:Wind
Wind light13 km/h

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Wednesday 9 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Wednesday 9 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass wetraining now
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground soft32mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.38
Good:Temperature
Temperature12°C
Good:Wind
Wind light12 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Thursday 10 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Thursday 10 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground soft66mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.45
Good:Temperature
Temperature10°C
Good:Wind
Wind light3 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Soil temperature

21.0°C70°F

at 6cm — germination depth

Cooling over the next 11 days.

Seeding conditions are open — soil is 21.0°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.

Most cool-season lawns in the northern US and Canada are bluegrass, tall fescue, or a mix of the two. We assume that, and use12.5°C as the seeding threshold.

I know what grass I have

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil tempDays
Perennial ryegrass8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescue8–10°C10–14
Tall fescuelikely yours10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrasslikely yours12–13°C14–28

What this means right now

  • Good: Seeding window open

    Seeding conditions are open — soil is 21.0°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.

  • Warning: Heat stress

    Thursday 3 September gets hot enough to stress the sward. Mow early or late, and raise the height.

  • Worth watching: Ground still soft

    32mm rain over the last week. A mower will mark it, and a ride-on will rut it.

One email when the app is ready, and nothing else. Unsubscribe in one click. See the privacy notice.

Forecast from Open-Meteo, refreshed hourly. Soil temperature is modelled, not measured — how that works and where the thresholds come from.