Windsor, Ontario

Best weekend slot

Sunday 10am–8pm

Verdict: Good

ground soft in places — 31mm rain over the last week

Next mow

Tomorrow 8am–11am

Verdict: Good

ground soft in places — 19mm rain over the last week

How you feel about mowing

Sensible middle ground.

Petrol or battery. The baseline.

The next 10 days

Column height is how mowable the day is; the lighter band is the best stretch within it. The line is soil temperature at 6cm. It crosses the seeding threshold inside this forecast.

12.5°C — seeding

Soil at 6cm 26.7°C cooling to 0.0°C

Tuesday 1 September: Not worth it. No — ground soft in places, 19mm rain over the last week.

Tuesday 1 SeptemberConfident

No — ground soft in places, 19mm rain over the last week.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Sunday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places19mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.52
Marginal:Temperature
Cool25°C
Good:Wind
Wind light14 km/h

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Wednesday 2 September: Good. 8am–11am — ground soft in places — 19mm rain over the last week

Wednesday 2 September · 8am–11amConfident

8am–11am — ground soft in places — 19mm rain over the last week

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Sunday
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places19mm rain over the last week
Marginal:Growth
Growing slowlygrowth potential 0.35
Poor:Temperature
Cool24°C
Good:Wind
Wind light13 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Thursday 3 September: Good. No — ground waterlogged.

Thursday 3 SeptemberConfident

No — ground waterlogged.

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places19mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.50
Poor:Temperature
Temperature22°C
Good:Wind
Wind light9 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Friday 4 September: Not worth it. No — ground waterlogged.

Friday 4 SeptemberConfident

No — ground waterlogged.

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places27mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.86
Good:Temperature
Temperature22°C
Good:Wind
Wind light7 km/h

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Saturday 5 September: Good. 6pm–8pm — ground soft in places — 31mm rain over the last week

Saturday 5 September · 6pm–8pmReasonably confident

6pm–8pm — ground soft in places — 31mm rain over the last week

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places31mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.98
Good:Temperature
Temperature17°C
Good:Wind
Wind light7 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Sunday 6 September: Good. 10am–8pm — ground soft in places — 31mm rain over the last week

Sunday 6 September · 10am–8pmReasonably confident

10am–8pm — ground soft in places — 31mm rain over the last week

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Friday
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places31mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.99
Good:Temperature
Temperature19°C
Good:Wind
Wind light8 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Monday 7 September: Good. 8am–3pm — ground soft in places — 12mm rain over the last week

Monday 7 September · 8am–3pmReasonably confident

8am–3pm — ground soft in places — 12mm rain over the last week

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Friday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places12mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.95
Marginal:Temperature
Temperature18°C
Good:Wind
Wind light6 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts at first light

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Tuesday 8 September: Good. 8am–8pm — ground soft in places — 12mm rain over the last week

Tuesday 8 September · 8am–8pmReasonably confident

8am–8pm — ground soft in places — 12mm rain over the last week

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Friday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places12mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.87
Good:Temperature
Temperature20°C
Good:Wind
Wind light8 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts at first light

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Wednesday 9 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Wednesday 9 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Friday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm12mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.96
Good:Temperature
Temperature19°C
Good:Wind
Wind light12 km/h

Limiting factor:none

Thursday 10 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Thursday 10 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm12mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.88
Good:Temperature
Temperature21°C
Good:Wind
Wind light20 km/h

Limiting factor:none

Soil temperature

27.4°C81°F

at 6cm — germination depth

Cooling over the next 11 days.

Too warm to seed — the soil is heat-stressed. Wait for it to cool.

Most cool-season lawns in the northern US and Canada are bluegrass, tall fescue, or a mix of the two. We assume that, and use12.5°C as the seeding threshold.

I know what grass I have

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil tempDays
Perennial ryegrass8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescue8–10°C10–14
Tall fescuelikely yours10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrasslikely yours12–13°C14–28

What this means right now

  • Warning: Too warm to seed

    Too warm to seed — the soil is heat-stressed. Wait for it to cool.

  • Warning: Heat stress

    Tuesday 1 September gets hot enough to stress the sward. Mow early or late, and raise the height.

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Forecast from Open-Meteo, refreshed hourly. Soil temperature is modelled, not measured — how that works and where the thresholds come from.