South Bend, Indiana
Best weekend slot
Sunday 10am–9pm
Verdict: Good
rain earlier today, ground firm
Next mow
Tomorrow 8am–11am
Verdict: Good
growing slowly — growth potential 0.29
The next 10 days
Column height is how mowable the day is; the lighter band is the best stretch within it. The line is soil temperature at 6cm. It crosses the seeding threshold inside this forecast.
12.5°C — seeding
Soil at 6cm 28.3°C cooling to 0.0°C
Tuesday 1 September: Good. No — heat stress, 30°C.
Tuesday 1 SeptemberConfident
No — heat stress, 30°C.
- Good:Grass wetness
- Grass dryno rain since Sunday
- Good:Ground firmness
- Ground firm2mm rain over the last week
- Good:Growth
- Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.50
- Poor:Temperature
- Heat stress30°C
- Good:Wind
- Wind light6 km/h
Limiting factor:temperature
Wednesday 2 September: Good. 8am–11am — growing slowly — growth potential 0.29
Wednesday 2 September · 8am–11amConfident
8am–11am — growing slowly — growth potential 0.29
- Good:Grass wetness
- Grass dryno rain since Sunday
- Good:Ground firmness
- Ground firm2mm rain over the last week
- Marginal:Growth
- Growing slowlygrowth potential 0.29
- Poor:Temperature
- Cool24°C
- Good:Wind
- Wind light8 km/h
- Sociable hours
- A bit early or late, but finestarts at first light
Limiting factor:growth
Thursday 3 September: Good. 8am–10am — growing steadily — growth potential 0.36
Thursday 3 September · 8am–10amConfident
8am–10am — growing steadily — growth potential 0.36
- Good:Grass wetness
- Grass dryno rain since Sunday
- Good:Ground firmness
- Ground firm2mm rain over the last week
- Good:Growth
- Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.36
- Poor:Temperature
- Cool24°C
- Good:Wind
- Wind light10 km/h
- Sociable hours
- A bit early or late, but finestarts at first light
Limiting factor:growth
Friday 4 September: Good. 8pm–9pm — heat stress — 27°C
Friday 4 September · 8pm–9pmConfident
8pm–9pm — heat stress — 27°C
- Marginal:Grass wetness
- Grass dryrain earlier today
- Good:Ground firmness
- Ground firm2mm rain over the last week
- Good:Growth
- Growing wellgrowth potential 0.65
- Marginal:Temperature
- Temperature21°C
- Good:Wind
- Wind light11 km/h
- Sociable hours
- Your neighbours will remember itstarts when it stops being antisocial
Limiting factor:temperature
Saturday 5 September: Good. 1pm–9pm — grass dry — dried off since a shower 3 hours ago
Saturday 5 September · 1pm–9pmReasonably confident
1pm–9pm — grass dry — dried off since a shower 3 hours ago
- Marginal:Grass wetness
- Grass drydried off since a shower 3 hours ago
- Good:Ground firmness
- Ground firm5mm rain over the last week
- Good:Growth
- Growing wellgrowth potential 0.86
- Good:Temperature
- Temperature19°C
- Good:Wind
- Wind light15 km/h
- Sociable hours
- Fine by the neighboursstarts once the dew has burnt off
Limiting factor:grass wetness
Sunday 6 September: Good. 10am–9pm — rain earlier today, ground firm
Sunday 6 September · 10am–9pmReasonably confident
10am–9pm — rain earlier today, ground firm
- Good:Grass wetness
- Grass dryrain earlier today
- Good:Ground firmness
- Ground firm14mm rain over the last week
- Good:Growth
- Growing wellgrowth potential 0.99
- Good:Temperature
- Temperature15°C
- Good:Wind
- Wind light12 km/h
- Sociable hours
- Fine by the neighboursstarts when it stops being antisocial
Limiting factor:none
Monday 7 September: Good. 10am–9pm — no rain since Saturday, ground firm
Monday 7 September · 10am–9pmReasonably confident
10am–9pm — no rain since Saturday, ground firm
- Good:Grass wetness
- Grass dryno rain since Saturday
- Good:Ground firmness
- Ground firm12mm rain over the last week
- Good:Growth
- Growing wellgrowth potential 0.98
- Good:Temperature
- Temperature16°C
- Good:Wind
- Wind light9 km/h
- Sociable hours
- Fine by the neighboursstarts when it stops being antisocial
Limiting factor:none
Tuesday 8 September: Good. 8am–9pm — no rain since Saturday, ground firm
Tuesday 8 September · 8am–9pmReasonably confident
8am–9pm — no rain since Saturday, ground firm
- Good:Grass wetness
- Grass dryno rain since Saturday
- Good:Ground firmness
- Ground firm12mm rain over the last week
- Good:Growth
- Growing wellgrowth potential 0.93
- Good:Temperature
- Temperature20°C
- Good:Wind
- Wind light6 km/h
- Sociable hours
- A bit early or late, but finestarts at first light
Limiting factor:none
Wednesday 9 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.
Wednesday 9 SeptemberLow confidence this far out
No — ground frozen.
- Good:Grass wetness
- Grass drydried off since a shower 5 hours ago
- Good:Ground firmness
- Ground firm12mm rain over the last week
- Good:Growth
- Growing wellgrowth potential 0.91
- Marginal:Temperature
- Temperature19°C
- Good:Wind
- Wind light16 km/h
Limiting factor:grass wetness
Thursday 10 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.
Thursday 10 SeptemberLow confidence this far out
No — ground frozen.
- Good:Grass wetness
- Grass dryno rain since Wednesday
- Good:Ground firmness
- Ground firm13mm rain over the last week
- Good:Growth
- Growing wellgrowth potential 0.96
- Good:Temperature
- Temperature18°C
- Good:Wind
- Wind light20 km/h
Limiting factor:none
Soil temperature
83°F28.3°C
at 6cm — germination depth
Cooling over the next 11 days.
Too warm to seed — the soil is heat-stressed. Wait for it to cool.
Most cool-season lawns in the northern US and Canada are bluegrass, tall fescue, or a mix of the two. We assume that, and use12.5°C as the seeding threshold.
I know what grass I have
The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.
| Species | Soil temp | Days |
|---|---|---|
| Perennial ryegrass | 8°C | 5–10 |
| Red / chewings fescue | 8–10°C | 10–14 |
| Tall fescuelikely yours | 10–12°C | 10–14 |
| Browntop bentColonial bentgrass | 10–12°C | 14–21 |
| Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrasslikely yours | 12–13°C | 14–28 |
What this means right now
Warning: Too warm to seed
Too warm to seed — the soil is heat-stressed. Wait for it to cool.
Warning: Heat stress
Tuesday 1 September gets hot enough to stress the sward. Mow early or late, and raise the height.
Forecast from Open-Meteo, refreshed hourly. Soil temperature is modelled, not measured — how that works and where the thresholds come from.