Salem, Oregon

Best weekend slot

Monday 10am–8pm

Verdict: Good

rain earlier today, ground firm

Next mow

Today 6pm–8pm

Verdict: Good

no rain in the record, ground firm

How you feel about mowing

Sensible middle ground.

Petrol or battery. The baseline.

The next 10 days

Column height is how mowable the day is; the lighter band is the best stretch within it. The line is soil temperature at 6cm. It crosses the seeding threshold inside this forecast.

12.5°C — seeding

Soil at 6cm 19.9°C cooling to 0.0°C

Tuesday 1 September: Good. 6pm–8pm — no rain in the record, ground firm

Tuesday 1 September · 6pm–8pmConfident

6pm–8pm — no rain in the record, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain in the record
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm0mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.97
Good:Temperature
Temperature21°C
Good:Wind
Wind light15 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but fine

Limiting factor:none

Wednesday 2 September: Good. 8am–9am — no rain in the record, ground firm

Wednesday 2 September · 8am–9amConfident

8am–9am — no rain in the record, ground firm

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain in the record
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm0mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.70
Good:Temperature
Temperature14°C
Good:Wind
Wind light8 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Thursday 3 September: Good. No — 0.2mm of rain falling.

Thursday 3 SeptemberConfident

No — 0.2mm of rain falling.

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass slightly dampraining now
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm9mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.50
Good:Temperature
Temperature12°C
Good:Wind
Wind light21 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Friday 4 September: Good. 6pm–8pm — grass slightly damp — rain 2 hours ago

Friday 4 September · 6pm–8pmConfident

6pm–8pm — grass slightly damp — rain 2 hours ago

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass slightly damprain 2 hours ago
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm16mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.39
Good:Temperature
Temperature11°C
Good:Wind
Wind light4 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts once the rain has passed

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Saturday 5 September: Good. 8am–7pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Saturday 5 September · 8am–7pmReasonably confident

8am–7pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm27mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.76
Good:Temperature
Temperature11°C
Good:Wind
Wind light5 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts once the dew has burnt off

Limiting factor:none

Sunday 6 September: Good. midday–6pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Sunday 6 September · midday–6pmReasonably confident

midday–6pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm27mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.90
Good:Temperature
Temperature12°C
Good:Wind
Wind light2 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts once the dew has burnt off

Limiting factor:none

Monday 7 September: Good. 10am–8pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Monday 7 September · 10am–8pmReasonably confident

10am–8pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm29mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.80
Good:Temperature
Temperature13°C
Good:Wind
Wind light8 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts once the dew has burnt off

Limiting factor:none

Tuesday 8 September: Good. 10am–6pm — grass dry — no rain since Sunday

Tuesday 8 September · 10am–6pmReasonably confident

10am–6pm — grass dry — no rain since Sunday

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Sunday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm30mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.76
Good:Temperature
Temperature12°C
Good:Wind
Wind light2 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts once the dew has burnt off

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Wednesday 9 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Wednesday 9 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Sunday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm30mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.80
Good:Temperature
Temperature11°C
Good:Wind
Wind light6 km/h

Limiting factor:none

Thursday 10 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Thursday 10 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Sunday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm22mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.97
Marginal:Temperature
Temperature14°C
Good:Wind
Wind light2 km/h

Limiting factor:none

Soil temperature

68°F20.1°C

at 6cm — germination depth

Cooling over the next 11 days.

Seeding conditions are open — soil is 20.1°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.

Most cool-season lawns in the northern US and Canada are bluegrass, tall fescue, or a mix of the two. We assume that, and use12.5°C as the seeding threshold.

I know what grass I have

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil tempDays
Perennial ryegrass8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescue8–10°C10–14
Tall fescuelikely yours10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrasslikely yours12–13°C14–28

What this means right now

  • Good: Seeding window open

    Seeding conditions are open — soil is 20.1°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.

  • Warning: Heat stress

    Sunday 6 September gets hot enough to stress the sward. Mow early or late, and raise the height.

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Forecast from Open-Meteo, refreshed hourly. Soil temperature is modelled, not measured — how that works and where the thresholds come from.