Regina, Saskatchewan

Best weekend slot

Sunday 10am–11am

Verdict: Good

dried off since a shower 3 hours ago, ground firm

Next mow

Tomorrow 8am–8pm

Verdict: Good

ground soft — 63mm rain over the last week

How you feel about mowing

Sensible middle ground.

Petrol or battery. The baseline.

The next 10 days

Column height is how mowable the day is; the lighter band is the best stretch within it. The line is soil temperature at 6cm. It crosses the seeding threshold inside this forecast.

12.5°C — seeding

Soil at 6cm 20.6°C cooling to 0.0°C

Tuesday 1 September: Good. No — ground soft, 63mm rain over the last week.

Tuesday 1 SeptemberConfident

No — ground soft, 63mm rain over the last week.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Monday
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground soft63mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.74
Good:Temperature
Temperature22°C
Good:Wind
Wind light8 km/h

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Wednesday 2 September: Good. 8am–8pm — ground soft — 63mm rain over the last week

Wednesday 2 September · 8am–8pmConfident

8am–8pm — ground soft — 63mm rain over the last week

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Monday
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft63mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.99
Good:Temperature
Temperature14°C
Good:Wind
Wind light13 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Thursday 3 September: Good. 1pm–8pm — ground soft — 63mm rain over the last week

Thursday 3 September · 1pm–8pmConfident

1pm–8pm — ground soft — 63mm rain over the last week

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Monday
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground soft63mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.99
Good:Temperature
Temperature16°C
Good:Wind
Wind light20 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighbours

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Friday 4 September: Good. 8am–midday — ground soft in places — 63mm rain over the last week

Friday 4 September · 8am–middayConfident

8am–midday — ground soft in places — 63mm rain over the last week

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places63mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.86
Marginal:Temperature
Temperature17°C
Marginal:Wind
Wind light18 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Saturday 5 September: Good. 8am–8pm — no rain since Thursday, ground firm

Saturday 5 September · 8am–8pmReasonably confident

8am–8pm — no rain since Thursday, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Thursday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm63mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.92
Good:Temperature
Temperature17°C
Good:Wind
Wind light20 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Sunday 6 September: Good. 10am–11am — dried off since a shower 3 hours ago, ground firm

Sunday 6 September · 10am–11amReasonably confident

10am–11am — dried off since a shower 3 hours ago, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 0 hours ago
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm63mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.97
Good:Temperature
Temperature14°C
Good:Wind
Wind light11 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Monday 7 September: Good. midday–7pm — ground soft in places — 14mm rain over the last week

Monday 7 September · midday–7pmReasonably confident

midday–7pm — ground soft in places — 14mm rain over the last week

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places14mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.60
Good:Temperature
Temperature11°C
Good:Wind
Wind light14 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighbours

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Tuesday 8 September: Not worth it. No — 1.0mm of rain falling.

Tuesday 8 SeptemberReasonably confident

No — 1.0mm of rain falling.

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass wetraining now
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places1mm rain over the last week
Marginal:Growth
Growing slowlygrowth potential 0.27
Good:Temperature
Temperature10°C
Good:Wind
Wind light18 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Wednesday 9 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Wednesday 9 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places20mm rain over the last week
Poor:Growth
Growing slowlygrowth potential 0.22
Good:Temperature
Temperature12°C
Good:Wind
Wind light18 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Thursday 10 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Thursday 10 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm27mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.66
Good:Temperature
Temperature11°C
Good:Wind
Wind light13 km/h

Limiting factor:none

Soil temperature

20.6°C69°F

at 6cm — germination depth

Cooling over the next 11 days.

Seeding conditions are open — soil is 20.6°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.

Most cool-season lawns in the northern US and Canada are bluegrass, tall fescue, or a mix of the two. We assume that, and use12.5°C as the seeding threshold.

I know what grass I have

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil tempDays
Perennial ryegrass8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescue8–10°C10–14
Tall fescuelikely yours10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrasslikely yours12–13°C14–28

What this means right now

  • Good: Seeding window open

    Seeding conditions are open — soil is 20.6°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.

  • Warning: Heat stress

    Wednesday 2 September gets hot enough to stress the sward. Mow early or late, and raise the height.

  • Worth watching: Ground still soft

    63mm rain over the last week. A mower will mark it, and a ride-on will rut it.

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Forecast from Open-Meteo, refreshed hourly. Soil temperature is modelled, not measured — how that works and where the thresholds come from.