Ithaca, New York

Best weekend slot

Sunday 10am–8pm

Verdict: Good

rain earlier today, ground firm

Next mow

Tomorrow 8am–11am

Verdict: Good

rain earlier today, ground firm

How you feel about mowing

Sensible middle ground.

Petrol or battery. The baseline.

The next 10 days

Column height is how mowable the day is; the lighter band is the best stretch within it. The line is soil temperature at 6cm. It crosses the seeding threshold inside this forecast.

12.5°C — seeding

Soil at 6cm 21.6°C cooling to 0.0°C

Tuesday 1 September: Not worth it. No — nothing quite good enough today.

Tuesday 1 SeptemberConfident

No — nothing quite good enough today.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm2mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.86
Good:Temperature
Temperature22°C
Good:Wind
Wind light2 km/h

Limiting factor:none

Wednesday 2 September: Good. 8am–11am — rain earlier today, ground firm

Wednesday 2 September · 8am–11amConfident

8am–11am — rain earlier today, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm2mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.82
Marginal:Temperature
Temperature20°C
Good:Wind
Wind light5 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Thursday 3 September: Good. 1pm–8pm — ground soft in places — 3mm rain over the last week

Thursday 3 September · 1pm–8pmConfident

1pm–8pm — ground soft in places — 3mm rain over the last week

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places3mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.82
Marginal:Temperature
Temperature21°C
Good:Wind
Wind light3 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts once the dew has burnt off

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Friday 4 September: Good. 8am–8pm — ground soft in places — 35mm rain over the last week

Friday 4 September · 8am–8pmConfident

8am–8pm — ground soft in places — 35mm rain over the last week

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Thursday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places35mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.96
Good:Temperature
Temperature20°C
Good:Wind
Wind light3 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Saturday 5 September: Good. 6pm–8pm — dried off since a shower 1 hour ago, ground firm

Saturday 5 September · 6pm–8pmReasonably confident

6pm–8pm — dried off since a shower 1 hour ago, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 0 hours ago
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm35mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.76
Good:Temperature
Temperature13°C
Good:Wind
Wind light9 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts once the rain has passed

Limiting factor:none

Sunday 6 September: Good. 10am–8pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Sunday 6 September · 10am–8pmReasonably confident

10am–8pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm36mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.71
Good:Temperature
Temperature10°C
Good:Wind
Wind light5 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts once the dew has burnt off

Limiting factor:none

Monday 7 September: Good. 10am–8pm — no rain since Saturday, ground firm

Monday 7 September · 10am–8pmReasonably confident

10am–8pm — no rain since Saturday, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Saturday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm36mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.87
Good:Temperature
Temperature12°C
Good:Wind
Wind light7 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts once the dew has burnt off

Limiting factor:none

Tuesday 8 September: Good. 8am–8pm — no rain since Saturday, ground firm

Tuesday 8 September · 8am–8pmReasonably confident

8am–8pm — no rain since Saturday, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Saturday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm34mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.97
Good:Temperature
Temperature18°C
Good:Wind
Wind light4 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Wednesday 9 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Wednesday 9 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Saturday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm34mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.79
Good:Temperature
Temperature11°C
Good:Wind
Wind light1 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Thursday 10 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Thursday 10 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 0 hours ago
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places33mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.96
Good:Temperature
Temperature20°C
Good:Wind
Wind light10 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Soil temperature

71°F21.8°C

at 6cm — germination depth

Cooling over the next 11 days.

Seeding conditions are open — soil is 21.8°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.

Most cool-season lawns in the northern US and Canada are bluegrass, tall fescue, or a mix of the two. We assume that, and use12.5°C as the seeding threshold.

I know what grass I have

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil tempDays
Perennial ryegrass8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescue8–10°C10–14
Tall fescuelikely yours10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrasslikely yours12–13°C14–28

What this means right now

  • Good: Seeding window open

    Seeding conditions are open — soil is 21.8°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.

  • Warning: Heat stress

    Wednesday 2 September gets hot enough to stress the sward. Mow early or late, and raise the height.

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Forecast from Open-Meteo, refreshed hourly. Soil temperature is modelled, not measured — how that works and where the thresholds come from.