Green Bay, Wisconsin

Best weekend slot

Monday 10am–2pm

Verdict: Good

ground soft in places — 41mm rain over the last week

Next mow

Today 7pm–8pm

Verdict: Good

heat stress — 28°C

How you feel about mowing

Sensible middle ground.

Petrol or battery. The baseline.

The next 10 days

Column height is how mowable the day is; the lighter band is the best stretch within it. The line is soil temperature at 6cm. It crosses the seeding threshold inside this forecast.

12.5°C — seeding

Soil at 6cm 28.2°C cooling to 0.0°C

Tuesday 1 September: Good. 7pm–8pm — heat stress — 28°C

Tuesday 1 September · 7pm–8pmConfident

7pm–8pm — heat stress — 28°C

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Saturday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm1mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.62
Poor:Temperature
Heat stress28°C
Good:Wind
Wind light9 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but fine

Limiting factor:temperature

Wednesday 2 September: Good. 8am–8pm — no rain since Saturday, ground firm

Wednesday 2 September · 8am–8pmConfident

8am–8pm — no rain since Saturday, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Saturday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm1mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.79
Good:Temperature
Temperature21°C
Good:Wind
Wind light11 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Thursday 3 September: Good. 8am–1pm — no rain since Saturday, ground firm

Thursday 3 September · 8am–1pmConfident

8am–1pm — no rain since Saturday, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Saturday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm1mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.84
Marginal:Temperature
Temperature20°C
Good:Wind
Wind light7 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Friday 4 September: Good. 3pm–8pm — ground soft — 2mm rain over the last week

Friday 4 September · 3pm–8pmConfident

3pm–8pm — ground soft — 2mm rain over the last week

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Poor:Ground firmness
Ground soft2mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.97
Good:Temperature
Temperature19°C
Good:Wind
Wind light9 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighbours

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Saturday 5 September: Good. 8am–8pm — ground soft in places — 40mm rain over the last week

Saturday 5 September · 8am–8pmReasonably confident

8am–8pm — ground soft in places — 40mm rain over the last week

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Friday
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places40mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.96
Marginal:Temperature
Temperature19°C
Good:Wind
Wind light7 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Sunday 6 September: Marginal. No — 0.2mm of rain falling.

Sunday 6 SeptemberReasonably confident

No — 0.2mm of rain falling.

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Friday
Marginal:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places39mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.98
Good:Temperature
Temperature17°C
Good:Wind
Wind light9 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Monday 7 September: Good. 10am–2pm — ground soft in places — 41mm rain over the last week

Monday 7 September · 10am–2pmReasonably confident

10am–2pm — ground soft in places — 41mm rain over the last week

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places41mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.97
Marginal:Temperature
Temperature18°C
Good:Wind
Wind light8 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Tuesday 8 September: Good. 8am–8pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Tuesday 8 September · 8am–8pmReasonably confident

8am–8pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm42mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.83
Good:Temperature
Temperature16°C
Good:Wind
Wind light21 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Wednesday 9 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Wednesday 9 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Tuesday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm42mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.98
Good:Temperature
Temperature19°C
Good:Wind
Wind light19 km/h

Limiting factor:none

Thursday 10 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Thursday 10 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Tuesday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm42mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.91
Good:Temperature
Temperature16°C
Good:Wind
Wind light21 km/h

Limiting factor:none

Soil temperature

83°F28.2°C

at 6cm — germination depth

Cooling over the next 11 days.

Too warm to seed — the soil is heat-stressed. Wait for it to cool.

Most cool-season lawns in the northern US and Canada are bluegrass, tall fescue, or a mix of the two. We assume that, and use12.5°C as the seeding threshold.

I know what grass I have

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil tempDays
Perennial ryegrass8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescue8–10°C10–14
Tall fescuelikely yours10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrasslikely yours12–13°C14–28

What this means right now

  • Warning: Too warm to seed

    Too warm to seed — the soil is heat-stressed. Wait for it to cool.

  • Warning: Heat stress

    Tuesday 1 September gets hot enough to stress the sward. Mow early or late, and raise the height.

  • Worth watching: Ground still soft

    2mm rain over the last week. A mower will mark it, and a ride-on will rut it.

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Forecast from Open-Meteo, refreshed hourly. Soil temperature is modelled, not measured — how that works and where the thresholds come from.