Duluth, Minnesota
Best weekend slot
Saturday 8am–8pm
Verdict: Good
no rain since Friday, ground firm
Next mow
Tomorrow 8am–8pm
Verdict: Good
no rain since Monday, ground firm
The next 10 days
Column height is how mowable the day is; the lighter band is the best stretch within it. The line is soil temperature at 6cm. It crosses the seeding threshold inside this forecast.
12.5°C — seeding
Soil at 6cm 20.5°C cooling to 0.0°C
Tuesday 1 September: Not worth it. No — cool, 24°C.
Tuesday 1 SeptemberConfident
No — cool, 24°C.
- Good:Grass wetness
- Grass dryno rain since Monday
- Good:Ground firmness
- Ground firm7mm rain over the last week
- Good:Growth
- Growing wellgrowth potential 0.89
- Good:Temperature
- Temperature22°C
- Good:Wind
- Wind light13 km/h
Limiting factor:temperature
Wednesday 2 September: Good. 8am–8pm — no rain since Monday, ground firm
Wednesday 2 September · 8am–8pmConfident
8am–8pm — no rain since Monday, ground firm
- Good:Grass wetness
- Grass dryno rain since Monday
- Good:Ground firmness
- Ground firm7mm rain over the last week
- Good:Growth
- Growing wellgrowth potential 0.90
- Good:Temperature
- Temperature18°C
- Good:Wind
- Wind light8 km/h
- Sociable hours
- A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial
Limiting factor:none
Thursday 3 September: Good. 8am–5pm — no rain since Monday, ground firm
Thursday 3 September · 8am–5pmConfident
8am–5pm — no rain since Monday, ground firm
- Good:Grass wetness
- Grass dryno rain since Monday
- Good:Ground firmness
- Ground firm7mm rain over the last week
- Good:Growth
- Growing wellgrowth potential 1.00
- Good:Temperature
- Temperature17°C
- Good:Wind
- Wind light16 km/h
- Sociable hours
- A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial
Limiting factor:none
Friday 4 September: Good. 5pm–8pm — grass dry — rain earlier today
Friday 4 September · 5pm–8pmConfident
5pm–8pm — grass dry — rain earlier today
- Poor:Grass wetness
- Grass dryrain earlier today
- Good:Ground firmness
- Ground firm8mm rain over the last week
- Good:Growth
- Growing wellgrowth potential 0.89
- Good:Temperature
- Temperature16°C
- Good:Wind
- Wind light15 km/h
- Sociable hours
- A bit early or late, but finestarts once the dew has burnt off
Limiting factor:grass wetness
Saturday 5 September: Good. 8am–8pm — no rain since Friday, ground firm
Saturday 5 September · 8am–8pmReasonably confident
8am–8pm — no rain since Friday, ground firm
- Good:Grass wetness
- Grass dryno rain since Friday
- Good:Ground firmness
- Ground firm19mm rain over the last week
- Good:Growth
- Growing wellgrowth potential 0.97
- Good:Temperature
- Temperature16°C
- Good:Wind
- Wind light10 km/h
- Sociable hours
- A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial
Limiting factor:none
Sunday 6 September: Good. 3pm–8pm — grass dry — rain earlier today
Sunday 6 September · 3pm–8pmReasonably confident
3pm–8pm — grass dry — rain earlier today
- Poor:Grass wetness
- Grass dryrain earlier today
- Good:Ground firmness
- Ground firm18mm rain over the last week
- Good:Growth
- Growing wellgrowth potential 0.99
- Good:Temperature
- Temperature17°C
- Good:Wind
- Wind light5 km/h
- Sociable hours
- Fine by the neighboursstarts once the dew has burnt off
Limiting factor:grass wetness
Monday 7 September: Good. 2pm–8pm — dried off since a shower 2 hours ago, ground firm
Monday 7 September · 2pm–8pmReasonably confident
2pm–8pm — dried off since a shower 2 hours ago, ground firm
- Marginal:Grass wetness
- Grass drydried off since a shower 2 hours ago
- Good:Ground firmness
- Ground firm23mm rain over the last week
- Good:Growth
- Growing wellgrowth potential 1.00
- Good:Temperature
- Temperature19°C
- Good:Wind
- Wind light5 km/h
- Sociable hours
- Fine by the neighboursstarts once the rain has passed
Limiting factor:none
Tuesday 8 September: Good. 8am–5pm — rain earlier today, ground firm
Tuesday 8 September · 8am–5pmReasonably confident
8am–5pm — rain earlier today, ground firm
- Good:Grass wetness
- Grass dryrain earlier today
- Good:Ground firmness
- Ground firm19mm rain over the last week
- Good:Growth
- Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.46
- Good:Temperature
- Temperature12°C
- Good:Wind
- Wind light24 km/h
- Sociable hours
- A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial
Limiting factor:none
Wednesday 9 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.
Wednesday 9 SeptemberLow confidence this far out
No — ground frozen.
- Poor:Grass wetness
- Grass drydried off since a shower 2 hours ago
- Good:Ground firmness
- Ground firm19mm rain over the last week
- Good:Growth
- Growing wellgrowth potential 0.79
- Good:Temperature
- Temperature16°C
- Good:Wind
- Wind light4 km/h
Limiting factor:grass wetness
Thursday 10 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.
Thursday 10 SeptemberLow confidence this far out
No — ground frozen.
- Good:Grass wetness
- Grass dryrain earlier today
- Good:Ground firmness
- Ground firm27mm rain over the last week
- Good:Growth
- Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.48
- Good:Temperature
- Temperature12°C
- Good:Wind
- Wind light14 km/h
Limiting factor:none
Soil temperature
71°F21.7°C
at 6cm — germination depth
Cooling over the next 11 days.
Seeding conditions are open — soil is 21.7°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.
Most cool-season lawns in the northern US and Canada are bluegrass, tall fescue, or a mix of the two. We assume that, and use12.5°C as the seeding threshold.
I know what grass I have
The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.
| Species | Soil temp | Days |
|---|---|---|
| Perennial ryegrass | 8°C | 5–10 |
| Red / chewings fescue | 8–10°C | 10–14 |
| Tall fescuelikely yours | 10–12°C | 10–14 |
| Browntop bentColonial bentgrass | 10–12°C | 14–21 |
| Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrasslikely yours | 12–13°C | 14–28 |
What this means right now
Good: Seeding window open
Seeding conditions are open — soil is 21.7°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.
Warning: Heat stress
Wednesday 2 September gets hot enough to stress the sward. Mow early or late, and raise the height.
Forecast from Open-Meteo, refreshed hourly. Soil temperature is modelled, not measured — how that works and where the thresholds come from.