Cleveland, Ohio

Best weekend slot

Saturday 8am–8pm

Verdict: Good

rain earlier today, ground firm

Next mow

Thursday 8am–9am

Verdict: Good

no rain since Wednesday, ground firm

How you feel about mowing

Sensible middle ground.

Petrol or battery. The baseline.

The next 10 days

Column height is how mowable the day is; the lighter band is the best stretch within it. The line is soil temperature at 6cm. It crosses the seeding threshold inside this forecast.

12.5°C — seeding

Soil at 6cm 27.5°C cooling to 0.0°C

Tuesday 1 September: Not worth it. No — heat stress, 27°C.

Tuesday 1 SeptemberConfident

No — heat stress, 27°C.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain in over a week
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm0mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.42
Marginal:Temperature
Cool26°C
Good:Wind
Wind light7 km/h

Limiting factor:temperature

Wednesday 2 September: Good. No — 3.6mm of rain falling.

Wednesday 2 SeptemberConfident

No — 3.6mm of rain falling.

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 5 hours ago
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm0mm rain over the last week
Marginal:Growth
Growing slowlygrowth potential 0.34
Poor:Temperature
Temperature23°C
Good:Wind
Wind light12 km/h

Limiting factor:temperature

Thursday 3 September: Good. 8am–9am — no rain since Wednesday, ground firm

Thursday 3 September · 8am–9amConfident

8am–9am — no rain since Wednesday, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Wednesday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm4mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.52
Marginal:Temperature
Temperature22°C
Good:Wind
Wind light20 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Friday 4 September: Marginal. No — 0.4mm of rain falling.

Friday 4 SeptemberConfident

No — 0.4mm of rain falling.

Poor:Grass wetness
Grass wetdew forming, rain 1 hour ago
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places5mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.83
Good:Temperature
Temperature22°C
Good:Wind
Wind light7 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Saturday 5 September: Good. 8am–8pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Saturday 5 September · 8am–8pmReasonably confident

8am–8pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm11mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.99
Good:Temperature
Temperature18°C
Good:Wind
Wind light8 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Sunday 6 September: Good. 10am–8pm — no rain since Friday, ground firm

Sunday 6 September · 10am–8pmReasonably confident

10am–8pm — no rain since Friday, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Friday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm11mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.98
Good:Temperature
Temperature15°C
Good:Wind
Wind light10 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Monday 7 September: Good. 10am–8pm — no rain since Friday, ground firm

Monday 7 September · 10am–8pmReasonably confident

10am–8pm — no rain since Friday, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Friday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm11mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.98
Good:Temperature
Temperature16°C
Good:Wind
Wind light10 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Tuesday 8 September: Good. 8am–8pm — no rain since Friday, ground firm

Tuesday 8 September · 8am–8pmReasonably confident

8am–8pm — no rain since Friday, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Friday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm11mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.91
Good:Temperature
Temperature20°C
Good:Wind
Wind light1 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts at first light

Limiting factor:none

Wednesday 9 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Wednesday 9 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Friday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm11mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.93
Good:Temperature
Temperature18°C
Good:Wind
Wind light6 km/h

Limiting factor:none

Thursday 10 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Thursday 10 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 1 hour ago
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm7mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.85
Good:Temperature
Temperature22°C
Good:Wind
Wind light24 km/h

Limiting factor:grass wetness

Soil temperature

83°F28.2°C

at 6cm — germination depth

Cooling over the next 11 days.

Too warm to seed — the soil is heat-stressed. Wait for it to cool.

Most cool-season lawns in the northern US and Canada are bluegrass, tall fescue, or a mix of the two. We assume that, and use12.5°C as the seeding threshold.

I know what grass I have

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil tempDays
Perennial ryegrass8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescue8–10°C10–14
Tall fescuelikely yours10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrasslikely yours12–13°C14–28

What this means right now

  • Warning: Too warm to seed

    Too warm to seed — the soil is heat-stressed. Wait for it to cool.

  • Warning: Heat stress

    Tuesday 1 September gets hot enough to stress the sward. Mow early or late, and raise the height.

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Forecast from Open-Meteo, refreshed hourly. Soil temperature is modelled, not measured — how that works and where the thresholds come from.