Brandon, Florida

Best weekend slot

Saturday 8am–10am

Verdict: Good

growing slowly — growth potential 0.26

Next mow

Tomorrow 6pm–8pm

Verdict: Good

cool — 26°C

How you feel about mowing

Sensible middle ground.

Petrol or battery. The baseline.

The next 10 days

Column height is how mowable the day is; the lighter band is the best stretch within it. The line is soil temperature at 6cm. It crosses the seeding threshold inside this forecast.

12.5°C — seeding

Soil at 6cm 27.2°C cooling to 0.0°C

Tuesday 1 September: Not worth it. No — heat stress, 27°C.

Tuesday 1 SeptemberConfident

No — heat stress, 27°C.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Monday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm9mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.40
Marginal:Temperature
Cool25°C
Good:Wind
Wind light6 km/h

Limiting factor:temperature

Wednesday 2 September: Good. 6pm–8pm — cool — 26°C

Wednesday 2 September · 6pm–8pmConfident

6pm–8pm — cool — 26°C

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm10mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.46
Poor:Temperature
Cool26°C
Good:Wind
Wind light5 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:temperature

Thursday 3 September: Good. 8am–11am — ground firm — 13mm rain over the last week

Thursday 3 September · 8am–11amConfident

8am–11am — ground firm — 13mm rain over the last week

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm13mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.45
Poor:Temperature
Cool24°C
Good:Wind
Wind light8 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts at first light

Limiting factor:ground firmness

Friday 4 September: Good. No — 0.7mm of rain falling.

Friday 4 SeptemberConfident

No — 0.7mm of rain falling.

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 0 hours ago
Good:Ground firmness
Ground soft in places29mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.36
Poor:Temperature
Cool25°C
Good:Wind
Wind light8 km/h

Limiting factor:temperature

Saturday 5 September: Good. 8am–10am — growing slowly — growth potential 0.26

Saturday 5 September · 8am–10amReasonably confident

8am–10am — growing slowly — growth potential 0.26

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm39mm rain over the last week
Marginal:Growth
Growing slowlygrowth potential 0.26
Poor:Temperature
Heat stress26°C
Good:Wind
Wind light8 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts at first light

Limiting factor:growth

Sunday 6 September: Good. No — 0.6mm of rain falling.

Sunday 6 SeptemberReasonably confident

No — 0.6mm of rain falling.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 3 hours ago
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm40mm rain over the last week
Marginal:Growth
Growing slowlygrowth potential 0.27
Poor:Temperature
Heat stress26°C
Good:Wind
Wind light10 km/h

Limiting factor:growth

Monday 7 September: Good. No — 0.1mm of rain falling.

Monday 7 SeptemberReasonably confident

No — 0.1mm of rain falling.

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 0 hours ago
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm41mm rain over the last week
Marginal:Growth
Growing slowlygrowth potential 0.31
Poor:Temperature
Heat stress26°C
Good:Wind
Wind light10 km/h

Limiting factor:growth

Tuesday 8 September: Good. No — 0.2mm of rain falling.

Tuesday 8 SeptemberReasonably confident

No — 0.2mm of rain falling.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm48mm rain over the last week
Marginal:Growth
Growing slowlygrowth potential 0.27
Poor:Temperature
Heat stress26°C
Good:Wind
Wind light4 km/h

Limiting factor:growth

Wednesday 9 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Wednesday 9 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm51mm rain over the last week
Marginal:Growth
Growing slowlygrowth potential 0.24
Poor:Temperature
Heat stress26°C
Good:Wind
Wind light4 km/h

Limiting factor:growth

Thursday 10 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Thursday 10 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Tuesday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm48mm rain over the last week
Marginal:Growth
Growing slowlygrowth potential 0.23
Poor:Temperature
Heat stress26°C
Good:Wind
Wind light4 km/h

Limiting factor:growth

Soil temperature

82°F27.6°C

at 6cm — germination depth

Cooling over the next 11 days.

Too warm to seed — the soil is heat-stressed. Wait for it to cool.

Most cool-season lawns in the northern US and Canada are bluegrass, tall fescue, or a mix of the two. We assume that, and use12.5°C as the seeding threshold.

I know what grass I have

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil tempDays
Perennial ryegrass8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescue8–10°C10–14
Tall fescuelikely yours10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrasslikely yours12–13°C14–28

What this means right now

  • Warning: Too warm to seed

    Too warm to seed — the soil is heat-stressed. Wait for it to cool.

  • Warning: Heat stress

    Tuesday 1 September gets hot enough to stress the sward. Mow early or late, and raise the height.

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Forecast from Open-Meteo, refreshed hourly. Soil temperature is modelled, not measured — how that works and where the thresholds come from.