Billings, Missouri

Best weekend slot

Sunday 11am–1pm

Verdict: Good

growing slowly — growth potential 0.27

Next mow

Tomorrow 8am–9am

Verdict: Good

barely growing — growth potential 0.14

How you feel about mowing

Sensible middle ground.

Petrol or battery. The baseline.

The next 10 days

Column height is how mowable the day is; the lighter band is the best stretch within it. The line is soil temperature at 6cm. It crosses the seeding threshold inside this forecast.

12.5°C — seeding

Soil at 6cm 29.2°C cooling to 0.0°C

Tuesday 1 September: Not worth it. No — growing slowly, growth potential 0.22.

Tuesday 1 SeptemberConfident

No — growing slowly, growth potential 0.22.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain in over a week
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm0mm rain over the last week
Poor:Growth
Growing slowlygrowth potential 0.22
Poor:Temperature
Heat stress30°C
Good:Wind
Wind light12 km/h

Limiting factor:growth

Wednesday 2 September: Good. 8am–9am — barely growing — growth potential 0.14

Wednesday 2 September · 8am–9amConfident

8am–9am — barely growing — growth potential 0.14

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain in over a week
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm0mm rain over the last week
Poor:Growth
Barely growinggrowth potential 0.14
Poor:Temperature
Cool25°C
Good:Wind
Wind light10 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:growth

Thursday 3 September: Good. 8am–9am — barely growing — growth potential 0.15

Thursday 3 September · 8am–9amConfident

8am–9am — barely growing — growth potential 0.15

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain in over a week
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm0mm rain over the last week
Poor:Growth
Barely growinggrowth potential 0.15
Poor:Temperature
Cool24°C
Good:Wind
Wind light12 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:growth

Friday 4 September: Good. 8am–9am — barely growing — growth potential 0.16

Friday 4 September · 8am–9amConfident

8am–9am — barely growing — growth potential 0.16

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain in over a week
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm0mm rain over the last week
Poor:Growth
Barely growinggrowth potential 0.16
Poor:Temperature
Temperature23°C
Good:Wind
Wind light11 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:growth

Saturday 5 September: Good. 8am–9am — barely growing — growth potential 0.16

Saturday 5 September · 8am–9amReasonably confident

8am–9am — barely growing — growth potential 0.16

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain in over a week
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm0mm rain over the last week
Poor:Growth
Barely growinggrowth potential 0.16
Poor:Temperature
Cool24°C
Good:Wind
Wind light11 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:growth

Sunday 6 September: Good. 11am–1pm — growing slowly — growth potential 0.27

Sunday 6 September · 11am–1pmReasonably confident

11am–1pm — growing slowly — growth potential 0.27

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm0mm rain over the last week
Marginal:Growth
Growing slowlygrowth potential 0.27
Poor:Temperature
Cool23°C
Good:Wind
Wind light9 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts once the rain has passed

Limiting factor:growth

Monday 7 September: Good. No — 0.1mm of rain falling.

Monday 7 SeptemberReasonably confident

No — 0.1mm of rain falling.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm1mm rain over the last week
Marginal:Growth
Growing slowlygrowth potential 0.25
Poor:Temperature
Temperature23°C
Good:Wind
Wind light13 km/h

Limiting factor:growth

Tuesday 8 September: Good. 8am–9am — barely growing — growth potential 0.18

Tuesday 8 September · 8am–9amReasonably confident

8am–9am — barely growing — growth potential 0.18

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm2mm rain over the last week
Poor:Growth
Barely growinggrowth potential 0.18
Poor:Temperature
Cool24°C
Good:Wind
Wind light12 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:growth

Wednesday 9 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Wednesday 9 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Monday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm3mm rain over the last week
Poor:Growth
Barely growinggrowth potential 0.03
Poor:Temperature
Heat stress29°C
Good:Wind
Wind light21 km/h

Limiting factor:growth

Thursday 10 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Thursday 10 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Monday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm3mm rain over the last week
Poor:Growth
Barely growinggrowth potential 0.14
Poor:Temperature
Temperature23°C
Good:Wind
Wind light16 km/h

Limiting factor:growth

Soil temperature

88°F30.9°C

at 6cm — germination depth

Cooling over the next 11 days.

Too warm to seed — the soil is heat-stressed. Wait for it to cool.

Most cool-season lawns in the northern US and Canada are bluegrass, tall fescue, or a mix of the two. We assume that, and use12.5°C as the seeding threshold.

I know what grass I have

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil tempDays
Perennial ryegrass8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescue8–10°C10–14
Tall fescuelikely yours10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrasslikely yours12–13°C14–28

What this means right now

  • Warning: Too warm to seed

    Too warm to seed — the soil is heat-stressed. Wait for it to cool.

  • Warning: Heat stress

    Tuesday 1 September gets hot enough to stress the sward. Mow early or late, and raise the height.

  • Worth watching: Growth has stalled

    The lawn is hard and barely growing. Cutting it now takes more than it gives — leave it longer and wait for rain.

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Forecast from Open-Meteo, refreshed hourly. Soil temperature is modelled, not measured — how that works and where the thresholds come from.