Bend, Oregon

Best weekend slot

Monday 10am–3pm

Verdict: Good

no rain since Saturday, ground firm

Next mow

Today 5pm–8pm

Verdict: Good

no rain in the record, ground firm

How you feel about mowing

Sensible middle ground.

Petrol or battery. The baseline.

The next 10 days

Column height is how mowable the day is; the lighter band is the best stretch within it. The line is soil temperature at 6cm. It crosses the seeding threshold inside this forecast.

12.5°C — seeding

Soil at 6cm 21.6°C cooling to 0.0°C

Tuesday 1 September: Good. 5pm–8pm — no rain in the record, ground firm

Tuesday 1 September · 5pm–8pmConfident

5pm–8pm — no rain in the record, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain in the record
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm0mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.99
Good:Temperature
Temperature22°C
Good:Wind
Wind light13 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but fine

Limiting factor:none

Wednesday 2 September: Good. 3pm–5pm — dried off since a shower 1 hour ago, ground firm

Wednesday 2 September · 3pm–5pmConfident

3pm–5pm — dried off since a shower 1 hour ago, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain in the record
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm0mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.47
Good:Temperature
Temperature12°C
Good:Wind
Wind light10 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts once the rain has passed

Limiting factor:none

Thursday 3 September: Good. 8am–6pm — barely growing — growth potential 0.16

Thursday 3 September · 8am–6pmConfident

8am–6pm — barely growing — growth potential 0.16

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm2mm rain over the last week
Poor:Growth
Barely growinggrowth potential 0.16
Good:Temperature
Temperature12°C
Good:Wind
Wind light17 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:growth

Friday 4 September: Good. 1pm–8pm — barely growing — growth potential 0.19

Friday 4 September · 1pm–8pmConfident

1pm–8pm — barely growing — growth potential 0.19

Marginal:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 2 hours ago
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm3mm rain over the last week
Poor:Growth
Barely growinggrowth potential 0.19
Good:Temperature
Temperature10°C
Good:Wind
Wind light15 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts once the rain has passed

Limiting factor:growth

Saturday 5 September: Good. 8am–6pm — growing slowly — growth potential 0.31

Saturday 5 September · 8am–6pmReasonably confident

8am–6pm — growing slowly — growth potential 0.31

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm6mm rain over the last week
Marginal:Growth
Growing slowlygrowth potential 0.31
Good:Temperature
Temperature10°C
Good:Wind
Wind light5 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:growth

Sunday 6 September: Good. 10am–8pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Sunday 6 September · 10am–8pmReasonably confident

10am–8pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm6mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.57
Good:Temperature
Temperature10°C
Good:Wind
Wind light4 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Monday 7 September: Good. 10am–3pm — no rain since Saturday, ground firm

Monday 7 September · 10am–3pmReasonably confident

10am–3pm — no rain since Saturday, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Saturday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm7mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.76
Good:Temperature
Temperature12°C
Good:Wind
Wind light9 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Tuesday 8 September: Good. 8am–6pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Tuesday 8 September · 8am–6pmReasonably confident

8am–6pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm8mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.50
Good:Temperature
Temperature11°C
Good:Wind
Wind light8 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Wednesday 9 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Wednesday 9 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Monday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm8mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.88
Good:Temperature
Temperature13°C
Good:Wind
Wind light4 km/h

Limiting factor:none

Thursday 10 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Thursday 10 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Monday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm6mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.97
Marginal:Temperature
Temperature14°C
Good:Wind
Wind light6 km/h

Limiting factor:none

Soil temperature

73°F22.7°C

at 6cm — germination depth

Cooling over the next 11 days.

Too cold to seed — 22.7°C at 6cm and not warming.

Most cool-season lawns in the northern US and Canada are bluegrass, tall fescue, or a mix of the two. We assume that, and use12.5°C as the seeding threshold.

I know what grass I have

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil tempDays
Perennial ryegrass8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescue8–10°C10–14
Tall fescuelikely yours10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrasslikely yours12–13°C14–28

What this means right now

  • Warning: Too cold to seed

    Too cold to seed — 22.7°C at 6cm and not warming.

  • Warning: Heat stress

    Wednesday 9 September gets hot enough to stress the sward. Mow early or late, and raise the height.

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Forecast from Open-Meteo, refreshed hourly. Soil temperature is modelled, not measured — how that works and where the thresholds come from.