Soil temperature in Rapid City, South Dakota

Soil temperature

74°F23.5°C

at 6cm — germination depth

Cooling over the next 11 days.

Seeding conditions are open — soil is 23.5°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.

Most cool-season lawns in the northern US and Canada are bluegrass, tall fescue, or a mix of the two. We assume that, and use12.5°C as the seeding threshold.

I know what grass I have

The differences are small. Ryegrass is the quickest off the mark; bluegrass is the slowest and wants the warmest soil. Everything else sits between.

Soil temperature at 6cm for reliable germination. Sources onthe method page.
SpeciesSoil tempDays
Perennial ryegrass8°C5–10
Red / chewings fescue8–10°C10–14
Tall fescuelikely yours10–12°C10–14
Browntop bentColonial bentgrass10–12°C14–21
Smooth-stalked meadow grassKentucky bluegrasslikely yours12–13°C14–28

Soil temperature at 6cm in Rapid City, South Dakota is currently 23.5°C, and falling about 20.5°C over the next 11 days. That depth matters because it is where grass seed sits and where roots start working, and it lags air temperature by days — which is why a warm afternoon here tells you very little on its own.

Lawns in this area are typically Kentucky bluegrass with tall fescue, the usual mix for cool-season lawns at this latitude. That blend needs the soil to hold above 12.5°C before seed germinates reliably. Seeding conditions are open — soil is 23.5°C at 6cm and holding above 12.5°C.

8 of the next 10 days are good mowing days. The best weekend slot right now is Monday 10am–8pm, on the basis that rain earlier today, ground firm.

The next recommended window in Rapid City opens at 6pm on Tuesday 1 September, and holds while conditions stay put. Underfoot, the ground reads as firm after 0mm rain over the last week.

See the full mowing forecast for Rapid City

The next 10 days

Column height is how mowable the day is; the lighter band is the best stretch within it. The line is soil temperature at 6cm. It crosses the seeding threshold inside this forecast.

12.5°C — seeding

Soil at 6cm 23.3°C cooling to 0.0°C

Tuesday 1 September: Good. 6pm–8pm — cool — 24°C

Tuesday 1 September · 6pm–8pmConfident

6pm–8pm — cool — 24°C

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm0mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 1.00
Good:Temperature
Cool24°C
Good:Wind
Wind light10 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but fine

Limiting factor:temperature

Wednesday 2 September: Good. 8am–midday — rain earlier today, ground firm

Wednesday 2 September · 8am–middayConfident

8am–midday — rain earlier today, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm1mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.88
Poor:Temperature
Temperature16°C
Good:Wind
Wind light5 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Thursday 3 September: Good. 8am–10am — growing slowly — growth potential 0.35

Thursday 3 September · 8am–10amConfident

8am–10am — growing slowly — growth potential 0.35

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Tuesday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm1mm rain over the last week
Marginal:Growth
Growing slowlygrowth potential 0.35
Poor:Temperature
Temperature20°C
Good:Wind
Wind light13 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:growth

Friday 4 September: Good. 8am–9am — growing slowly — growth potential 0.28

Friday 4 September · 8am–9amConfident

8am–9am — growing slowly — growth potential 0.28

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Tuesday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm1mm rain over the last week
Marginal:Growth
Growing slowlygrowth potential 0.28
Poor:Temperature
Temperature23°C
Good:Wind
Wind light11 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:growth

Saturday 5 September: Good. 8am–9am — growing slowly — growth potential 0.20

Saturday 5 September · 8am–9amReasonably confident

8am–9am — growing slowly — growth potential 0.20

Good:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 2 hours ago
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm1mm rain over the last week
Poor:Growth
Growing slowlygrowth potential 0.20
Poor:Temperature
Cool24°C
Good:Wind
Wind light12 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:growth

Sunday 6 September: Good. 10am–11am — heat stress — 27°C

Sunday 6 September · 10am–11amReasonably confident

10am–11am — heat stress — 27°C

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Saturday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm2mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing steadilygrowth potential 0.43
Poor:Temperature
Temperature23°C
Good:Wind
Wind light7 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:temperature

Monday 7 September: Good. 10am–8pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Monday 7 September · 10am–8pmReasonably confident

10am–8pm — rain earlier today, ground firm

Good:Grass wetness
Grass drydried off since a shower 4 hours ago
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm2mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.93
Good:Temperature
Temperature19°C
Good:Wind
Wind light11 km/h
Sociable hours
Fine by the neighboursstarts when it stops being antisocial

Limiting factor:none

Tuesday 8 September: Good. 9am–11am — cool — 26°C

Tuesday 8 September · 9am–11amReasonably confident

9am–11am — cool — 26°C

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryrain earlier today
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm4mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.73
Marginal:Temperature
Temperature21°C
Good:Wind
Wind light17 km/h
Sociable hours
A bit early or late, but finestarts once the dew has burnt off

Limiting factor:temperature

Wednesday 9 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Wednesday 9 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Tuesday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm6mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.98
Good:Temperature
Temperature17°C
Good:Wind
Wind light13 km/h

Limiting factor:none

Thursday 10 September: Not worth it. No — ground frozen.

Thursday 10 SeptemberLow confidence this far out

No — ground frozen.

Good:Grass wetness
Grass dryno rain since Tuesday
Good:Ground firmness
Ground firm6mm rain over the last week
Good:Growth
Growing wellgrowth potential 0.83
Good:Temperature
Temperature14°C
Good:Wind
Wind light10 km/h

Limiting factor:none

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